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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 17/06/2024

 Season record: 382-312

Last picks record: 6-5

Recap of last picks (14/06/2024):

Celtics @ Mavericks
1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet❌
2. Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet❌
3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅
4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365❌
5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅
6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes❌
7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet✅
8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes❌
9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅
10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅
11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅

17/06's NBA Props (To be updated)

Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka.
2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
With KP still likely out this game, I expect Horford to play around 30 minutes this game. Horford also tends to play better at home.


3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 2.05 Bet365
Gafford's minutes are seeing a decline but he is still very productive in his limited minutes. Gafford provides a spark on the floor whenever he is on, which I believe will get him around 15 minutes this game.
4. Jayson Tatum O32.5PA Odd 1.84 Unibet
Tatum has all the motivation in the world to perform well this game. He would not want to choke this game and go back to Dallas, where things can be more difficult. Whenever there is a blowout game, Tatum has always shown up in the next game. And the final motivation is the Finals MVP. If the Celtics win tomorrow and Brown scores an efficient 30 points, then Tatum's case for the Finals MVP will decline greatly. I believe Tatum will take matters into his own hands, and score and assist for at least 40 points for the Celtics
5. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
Washington has always been consistent, he got only 6 points last game but it is mainly due to foul trouble and an early blowout game.
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.74 Sportsbet
Same reason as 5.
7. Kyrie Irving U24.5P Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
Irving has not performed well at the Garden and I expect a similar trend this game. Celtics guards are great defenders and scoring 25+ points is never an easy task.
8. Derek Lively U8.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Same for Lively. He only got 2 points for both game 1 and game 2. He is very consistent with rebounds but for scoring he is still limited.
9. Derrick White O8.5RA Odd 2.07 Unibet
It's a crucial game for the Celtics and I believe their starters except for Horford will see 40+ minutes. Among the Celtics'  starters White has the lowest RA line, which I prefer to bet over.
10. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.8 Bet365
If this remains a close game, Tatum will likely see closer to 45 minutes. His SB line is the lowest among the starters, which again I find values in that line.
11. Luka Donicic O1.5SB Odd 1.6 Unibet
Normally Luka's line is 2.5 so 1.5 is quite low, considering the importance of this game Luka has to give it all on both ends of the floor.
12. Luka Donicic U9.5 1stQP Odd 2.05 Sportsbet
It's the finals, and a Celtics home game. It's not easy to score 10 points in the first quarter. Normally Luka's line would be 8.5 so I believe this line is overrated due to public recency bias.

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