Skip to main content

NBA Players Props Analysis 17/06/2024

  S eason record: 382-312 Last picks record: 6-5 Recap of last picks (14/06/2024): Celtics @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet ❌ 2.  Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌ 3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅ 8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes ❌ 9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅ 10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 17/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka. 2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.8
1 comment

NBA Players Props Analysis 17/06/2024

 Season record: 382-312

Last picks record: 6-5

Recap of last picks (14/06/2024):

Celtics @ Mavericks
1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet❌
2. Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet❌
3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅
4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365❌
5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅
6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes❌
7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet✅
8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes❌
9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅
10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅
11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅

17/06's NBA Props (To be updated)

Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka.
2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
With KP still likely out this game, I expect Horford to play around 30 minutes this game. Horford also tends to play better at home.


3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 2.05 Bet365
Gafford's minutes are seeing a decline but he is still very productive in his limited minutes. Gafford provides a spark on the floor whenever he is on, which I believe will get him around 15 minutes this game.
4. Jayson Tatum O32.5PA Odd 1.84 Unibet
Tatum has all the motivation in the world to perform well this game. He would not want to choke this game and go back to Dallas, where things can be more difficult. Whenever there is a blowout game, Tatum has always shown up in the next game. And the final motivation is the Finals MVP. If the Celtics win tomorrow and Brown scores an efficient 30 points, then Tatum's case for the Finals MVP will decline greatly. I believe Tatum will take matters into his own hands, and score and assist for at least 40 points for the Celtics
5. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
Washington has always been consistent, he got only 6 points last game but it is mainly due to foul trouble and an early blowout game.
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.74 Sportsbet
Same reason as 5.
7. Kyrie Irving U24.5P Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
Irving has not performed well at the Garden and I expect a similar trend this game. Celtics guards are great defenders and scoring 25+ points is never an easy task.
8. Derek Lively U8.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Same for Lively. He only got 2 points for both game 1 and game 2. He is very consistent with rebounds but for scoring he is still limited.
9. Derrick White O8.5RA Odd 2.07 Unibet
It's a crucial game for the Celtics and I believe their starters except for Horford will see 40+ minutes. Among the Celtics'  starters White has the lowest RA line, which I prefer to bet over.
10. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.8 Bet365
If this remains a close game, Tatum will likely see closer to 45 minutes. His SB line is the lowest among the starters, which again I find values in that line.
11. Luka Donicic O1.5SB Odd 1.6 Unibet
Normally Luka's line is 2.5 so 1.5 is quite low, considering the importance of this game Luka has to give it all on both ends of the floor.
12. Luka Donicic U9.5 1stQP Odd 2.05 Sportsbet
It's the finals, and a Celtics home game. It's not easy to score 10 points in the first quarter. Normally Luka's line would be 8.5 so I believe this line is overrated due to public recency bias.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NBA Players Props Analysis 06/06/2024

  S eason record: 354-285 Last picks record: 9-3 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 2. Daniel Gafford O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅ 3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365 ❌ 5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365 ✅ 7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 8. Karl Anthony Towns O19.5P Odd 1.76 Unibet✅ 9. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet✅ 11. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 12. Anthony Edwards O6.5A Odd 1.86 Sportsbet❌ 06/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 There are a few reasons I like this line. First, his performance against Dallas has been very well in the regular season. Mavs show no signs of ability to contain the 2 Js of Celtics, especially Tatum. He had 37 and 32 points in those 2 games, with only 20 FGA. Compared to his recent
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 28/05/2024

      S eason record: 338-278 Last picks record: 9-2 Recap of last picks (27/05/2024): We come back with a 9W2L super positive day. All are good picks except for Pritchard (super close game so Pritchard only sees 9 minutes but he has 5 points), and unlucky with Nesmith who shot 1/6 from 3. Celtics @  Pacers 1. Derrick White 15+P Odd 1.76 Bet365 ✅ 2. Obi Toppin O14.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 3. Aaron Neismith O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 4. Aaron Nesmith O1.5 3M Odd 2.05 Bet365❌ 5. Myles Turner 2+ 3M Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅ 6. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅ 7. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 8. Andrew Nembhard O25.5PRA Odd 1.7 Unibet✅ 9. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.77 Odd 1.77 Unibet✅ 10. Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3M Odd 1.69 Pointsbet✅ 11. Payton Pritchard O6.5P Odd 1.93 Unibet❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 I expect another 17-20 minute game from Anderson. He has been playing well this whole series, and there is n
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 30/05/2024

  S eason record: 345-282 Last picks record: 7-4 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Another positive day with 7W and 4L, with almost all being good picks. Washington underperformed but he played 42 minutes, unlucky with Anderson and McDaniels. Every game so far has been very close, and I expect it will continue like that for the remainder of this series. Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅ 3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes ✅ 5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes ❌ 6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet ❌ 7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab ✅ 8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet ✅ 9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365 ❌ 11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365 ✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Will Lively come back this game? His i
Post a Comment
Read more