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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 19/03/2024

 1. Amen Thompson O13.5 P      Odd 1.86 Bet365





There are a few things I like about this prop:



Let's start with the Wizards' defense—or should I say lack thereof. These guys are about as effective at stopping small forwards as a paper umbrella in a hurricane. They're giving up more points to small forwards than your buddy who always forgets his wallet at dinner. It's not pretty.



Now, the Wizards are essentially playing for pride at this point. With their playoff hopes dashed, it's all about saving face. But facing off against the Rockets with a spread of nearly double digits? Yeah, that's a recipe for a potential blowout. And in blowouts, who tends to get some extra run? You guessed it - Amen Thompson.


Just one thing to consider: Thompson's road performances lately have been quite inconsistent. He's only cracked that 13.5 mark in three of his last ten away games.

Overall, I see great value in this prop. I expect Thompson to log 25+ minutes and attempt 10+ field goals in this matchup!


Reference: 

https://www.fantasypros.com/daily-fantasy/nba/fanduel-defense-vs-position.php

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/player/amen-thompson-30248/game-log?seasonYear=2024

https://propsdaily.com/nba#amen-thompson-points-289799

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