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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 24/03/2024

 

Recap of yesterday pick (23/03/2024):

1. Isaiah Hartenstein O7.5P Nets @ Knicks  Odd 1.86 Sportsbet ✅

Isaiah Hartenstein continues his great performance for the least couple games, finished strong with 17 points on 8/10 FG.

2. Jalen Suggs O12.5P Kings @ Orlando Magic Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ❌

Suggs was a consistent shooter in terms of percentage but he shoots at quite a low volume and, I will consider Cole Anthony to be a safer bet.

3. Keegan Murray O12.5P Kings @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅

Murray is a very underrated scorer, finished the game strong with 22 points.

4. Nikola Vucevic O13.5 RA  Celtics @ Bulls Odd 2.01 Sportsbet ❌

This is a very bad game for Vucevic at getting the boards, finishing at just 2 rebounds as a Center who average 11 rebounds a game, with 32 minutes of playing time. Only good thing is he continues to prove as a underrated passer, finish the game with 5 assists. 

5. Victor Wembanyama O34.5 PR Suns @ Spurs Odd 1.94 Sportsbet ❌

I have overestimated the "playing against idol" effect over back to back past performance, which is a lesson for next time. Wemby ended the night with 13 points and 5 rebounds.

6. Grayson Allen 15+P Suns @ Spurs Odd 12.07 Sportsbet ❌

Allen still shoot with great efficiency but so low volume compared to recent games. He ended with just 8 points on 4/6 FG.


Tonight's NBA Props:

1. Stephen Curry O28.5 PA Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.83 Bet365

Recent performance say Curry performance recently has been quite inconsistent. But against the Wolves, in the last 5 games he averaged 29.2P and 5.4A. I believe he will play his best today, as GSW is currently placed 10 in the Western Conference, and a win against a top team like Timberwolves will not only strengthen their place for a playin spot but also support their momentum for the remaining of the regular season.

2. Tosan Evbuomwan O14.5PR Pelicans @ Pistons Odd 14.5 Bet365

With 6/7 Pistons players are injured and cannot play, Tosan saw double the playing time, and should continue to be the trend, I expect him to 30 minutes or more this game, with 12+ points and 4+ rebounds.

3. Josh Giddey O10.5P Thunder @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365

10.5 points is quite low for Giddey. I know last time Giddey has failed our expectation but Bucks is not a good team defensively at guards. 

4. Myles Turner O6.5R Pacers @ Lakers Odd 1.9 Sportsbet

I know AD will out-rebound Myles Turner but with AD's prop at 14.5R, I don't think 6.5R is a fair assessment at all for Turner (more than 2x?!). Stats show that when playing against AD, Turner average closer to 10 rebounds per game.




5. Draymond Green O7.5P Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.92 Sportsbet

Unless get into foul trouble or even worse, getting ejected by turning himself into a UFC fighter in a basketball game, Draymond tends to score a few when playing vs Rudy Gobert. In the last 6 games against Gobert, Draymond score 9 or more in all except one, where he gets ejected in the first 2 minutes. 



6. Giannis Antetokounmpo O29.5P Thunder @ Bucks Odd 1.92 Sportsbet

This game should hold some weights between the top 2 teams in each conference.
Light weight long lanky center like Chet and Wemby are favorite match up for Giannis, and I expect him to dominate in the paint in this game.

7. CJ McCollum O20.5P Pelicans @ Pistons Odd 1.8 Tab

With Brandon Ingram out and playing against a young Pistons team with not so good defense for guards, I expect McCollum to score 25 today.









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