Skip to main content

NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Post a Comment

NBA Players Props Analysis 24/03/2024

 

Recap of yesterday pick (23/03/2024):

1. Isaiah Hartenstein O7.5P Nets @ Knicks  Odd 1.86 Sportsbet ✅

Isaiah Hartenstein continues his great performance for the least couple games, finished strong with 17 points on 8/10 FG.

2. Jalen Suggs O12.5P Kings @ Orlando Magic Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ❌

Suggs was a consistent shooter in terms of percentage but he shoots at quite a low volume and, I will consider Cole Anthony to be a safer bet.

3. Keegan Murray O12.5P Kings @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅

Murray is a very underrated scorer, finished the game strong with 22 points.

4. Nikola Vucevic O13.5 RA  Celtics @ Bulls Odd 2.01 Sportsbet ❌

This is a very bad game for Vucevic at getting the boards, finishing at just 2 rebounds as a Center who average 11 rebounds a game, with 32 minutes of playing time. Only good thing is he continues to prove as a underrated passer, finish the game with 5 assists. 

5. Victor Wembanyama O34.5 PR Suns @ Spurs Odd 1.94 Sportsbet ❌

I have overestimated the "playing against idol" effect over back to back past performance, which is a lesson for next time. Wemby ended the night with 13 points and 5 rebounds.

6. Grayson Allen 15+P Suns @ Spurs Odd 12.07 Sportsbet ❌

Allen still shoot with great efficiency but so low volume compared to recent games. He ended with just 8 points on 4/6 FG.


Tonight's NBA Props:

1. Stephen Curry O28.5 PA Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.83 Bet365

Recent performance say Curry performance recently has been quite inconsistent. But against the Wolves, in the last 5 games he averaged 29.2P and 5.4A. I believe he will play his best today, as GSW is currently placed 10 in the Western Conference, and a win against a top team like Timberwolves will not only strengthen their place for a playin spot but also support their momentum for the remaining of the regular season.

2. Tosan Evbuomwan O14.5PR Pelicans @ Pistons Odd 14.5 Bet365

With 6/7 Pistons players are injured and cannot play, Tosan saw double the playing time, and should continue to be the trend, I expect him to 30 minutes or more this game, with 12+ points and 4+ rebounds.

3. Josh Giddey O10.5P Thunder @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365

10.5 points is quite low for Giddey. I know last time Giddey has failed our expectation but Bucks is not a good team defensively at guards. 

4. Myles Turner O6.5R Pacers @ Lakers Odd 1.9 Sportsbet

I know AD will out-rebound Myles Turner but with AD's prop at 14.5R, I don't think 6.5R is a fair assessment at all for Turner (more than 2x?!). Stats show that when playing against AD, Turner average closer to 10 rebounds per game.




5. Draymond Green O7.5P Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.92 Sportsbet

Unless get into foul trouble or even worse, getting ejected by turning himself into a UFC fighter in a basketball game, Draymond tends to score a few when playing vs Rudy Gobert. In the last 6 games against Gobert, Draymond score 9 or more in all except one, where he gets ejected in the first 2 minutes. 



6. Giannis Antetokounmpo O29.5P Thunder @ Bucks Odd 1.92 Sportsbet

This game should hold some weights between the top 2 teams in each conference.
Light weight long lanky center like Chet and Wemby are favorite match up for Giannis, and I expect him to dominate in the paint in this game.

7. CJ McCollum O20.5P Pelicans @ Pistons Odd 1.8 Tab

With Brandon Ingram out and playing against a young Pistons team with not so good defense for guards, I expect McCollum to score 25 today.









Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NBA Players Props Analysis 28/04/2024

  S eason record: 132-127 Last picks record: 6-6 Recap of last picks (27/04/2024): 1. Caris Levert U9.5P Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅ 2. Josh Giddey O9.5P Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ✅ 3. Franz Wagner 20+P  Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.91 Sportsbet ✅ 4. Paolo Banchero 8+R Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.83 Sportsbet ❌ 5. Lebron James O26.5P Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 6. Aaron Gordon O7.5R Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 2.15 Bet365 ❌ 7. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.91 Sportsbet ❌ 8. Jaylen Brown O21.5P Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.9 Sportsbet  ✅ 9. Tyler Herro O32.5PRA Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.84 Sportsbet ❌ 10. Larry Nance Jr O11.5PR Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ✅ 11. Orlando Magic U102.5 Total Points Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌ 12. Game Total U209.5 Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) 1. Isiah Hartenstein O8.5P Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.95 Bet365 Mitchell Robinson will play but I believe Hartenstein will see more minutes as Robinson i...
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Prop Analysis 22/10/2024

Season Record: 0-0 Last Pick record: 10-2  (17/06/2024) 22/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated) 1. Jalen Brunson U28.5P Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes Demanding 29 points in the first game of the season is not an easy task for any players, including Brunson. Celtics is also a good defensive team, and only allowed Brunson to score 15 points in the first game last season. 2. Jrue Holiday U13.5P  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.85 Tab Celtics has great firepower, and Holiday won't need to take many shots at all. Jrue averaged 12.5 points last season. And with this being the first game, and Jrue is a 34-year-old guard who plays on both ends of the floor, and also considering Celtics has a good bench, I don't expect Jrue to play more than 30 minutes this game. 3. Karl Anthony Towns U11.5R  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.83 PointsBet KAT has not averaged 11 or more rebounds for the past 5 seasons. Also considering Celtics's starting Center is Al Horford, who tends to stay outside the peri...
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 25/03/2024

Recap of yesterday pick (24/03/2024): 1. Stephen Curry O28.5 PA Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅ 28.5PA is just too low for player of Curry's calibre, especially when Warriors really need this win. Warriors end up losing, but Curry scored 31 points along with 3 assists. 2. Tosan Evbuomwan O14.5PR Pelicans @ Pistons Odd 14.5 Bet365 ❌ Evbuomwan played not bad, but 7 points and 7 rebounds are not enough to surpass 14.5 prop. 3. Josh Giddey O10.5P Thunder @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅ Giddey showed up great tonight with a near triple double, with 19/9/8. 4. Myles Turner O6.5R Pacers @ Lakers Odd 1.9 Sportsbet ❌ Like the analysis, I know Turner will get outrebound by AD but I still can't believe he got outrebound that bad. Turner ended the game with 5 rebounds. 5. Draymond Green O7.5P Warriors @ Wolves Odd 1.92 Sportsbet ✅ Green always showed up against Gobert if he did not get into foul troubles. Green scored 12 points, with 2 threes. 6. Giannis Antetokounmpo O29.5P Thunder @ Bucks ...
Post a Comment
Read more