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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 26/03/2024

 

Recap of yesterday pick (25/03/2024):

1. Isiah Hartenstein O17.5PR Pistons @ Knicks Odd 1.98 Sportsbet ❌

Hartenstein had 10PR in the first quarter, then ended the game with just 20 minutes, with 6 points 10 rebounds. 

2. Jaylen Brown O22.5P Celtics @ Hawks Odd 1.93 Sportsbet  ✅

Brown continues to perform well, especially in the 4th quarter, and ended the night with 24 points

3. Nic Claxton O12.5P Nets @ Raptors Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ❌

A bet on rebounds will be much more safe. Claxton cannot create his own shots, so when a night where he does not see much pick-and-roll situation like tonight, he only scored 9 points with 16 rebounds.

4. Derrick White O13.5P Celtics @ Hawks 1.86 Bet365 (VOID)

5. Amen Thompson O13.5P Blazers @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

Amen Thompson ended the night with 12 points.

6. Nikola Vucevic O32.5 PRA Wizards @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌

Vucevic showed he is not reliable for over bet anymore, not sure if he lacks motivation but last game he had 2 rebounds, this game he had 9 points on 3/5 FG. Not even scored once in the first half. Will consider his under for the remainder of the season.

7. Daniel Gafford O7.5R Mavericks @ Jazz Odd 2.05 Bet365  ✅

Gafford played well today on the boards, with 11 rebounds.

8. Derrick Jones Jr O7.5P Mavericks @ Jazz Odd 2.05 Bet365 ❌

Derrick Jones Jr only played 18 minutes and had 3 FG attempts today, ended with 6 points

9. Ivica Zubac O20.5PRA Pacers @ Clippers Odd 1.86 Bet365  ✅

Zubac did well for the first half, and finished the night with 9 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 assists

Tonight's NBA Props:

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O30.5P Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365

Quite self-explanatory with Giannis's last 5 performances against AD.

2. Giannis Antetokounmpo O47.5PRA Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365

Giannis always performs well when matched up with AD. In the last 5 games against AD, he averaged nearly 41/11/7. Lakers is expected to play better defense on Giannis today but it may also leave Giannis to kick out to Bucks capable shooters. I would not surprised if he gets 7-8 assists tonight.

3. Andrew Wiggins O10.5P Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.74 Bet365

Wiggins went over this prop in the last 6/8 games. Past performances also show a good record for Wiggins when he played vs the Heat. I can see a correlation between Wiggins's performance and GSW's winning chances, and I believe GSW will win this crucial game and Wiggins score around 14, 15 points.

4. Draymond Green O21.5 PRA Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.83 Sportsbet

21.5 is quite low for Draymond, 23.5 would been more fair in my opinion. As GSW is now fighting for a play-in spot, Draymond would see 30+ minutes, playing a major role in defense and facilitating the offense.

5. Josh Giddey O14.5 PA Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.87 Sportsbet

Giddey is gaining more confidence recently, especially with a near triple-double last game. As his confidence goes up, his productivity on the court will go up as well. I expect another good game from Giddey.

6. Zion Williamson O6.5R Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.72 Sportsbet

Thunder gave a lot of rebounds to PFs this season and against Zion, I don't see no trouble for him getting 8-10 rebounds this game.

7. PJ Washington O11.5 PA Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.83 Bet365

Washington is averaging 32+ minutes per game for the Mavs, and having seen his performance last game and look at the stats vs King I believe 12+ points and 1+ assists is totally achievable. 

8. DeAaron Fox O26.5P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.96 Sportsbet

Fox performed well against the Mavs. Last 6 games vs the Mavs, he averaged 34 points.

9. Giannis Antetokounmpo O0.5B Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.6 Bet365

With Lebron out, I expect AD to have more FGA in the paint, thus more opportunities for Giannis to block. Since 2021, Giannis always had 1 block or more every time he played against the Lakers.





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