Skip to main content

NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Post a Comment

NBA Players Props Analysis 26/03/2024

 

Recap of yesterday pick (25/03/2024):

1. Isiah Hartenstein O17.5PR Pistons @ Knicks Odd 1.98 Sportsbet ❌

Hartenstein had 10PR in the first quarter, then ended the game with just 20 minutes, with 6 points 10 rebounds. 

2. Jaylen Brown O22.5P Celtics @ Hawks Odd 1.93 Sportsbet  ✅

Brown continues to perform well, especially in the 4th quarter, and ended the night with 24 points

3. Nic Claxton O12.5P Nets @ Raptors Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ❌

A bet on rebounds will be much more safe. Claxton cannot create his own shots, so when a night where he does not see much pick-and-roll situation like tonight, he only scored 9 points with 16 rebounds.

4. Derrick White O13.5P Celtics @ Hawks 1.86 Bet365 (VOID)

5. Amen Thompson O13.5P Blazers @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

Amen Thompson ended the night with 12 points.

6. Nikola Vucevic O32.5 PRA Wizards @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌

Vucevic showed he is not reliable for over bet anymore, not sure if he lacks motivation but last game he had 2 rebounds, this game he had 9 points on 3/5 FG. Not even scored once in the first half. Will consider his under for the remainder of the season.

7. Daniel Gafford O7.5R Mavericks @ Jazz Odd 2.05 Bet365  ✅

Gafford played well today on the boards, with 11 rebounds.

8. Derrick Jones Jr O7.5P Mavericks @ Jazz Odd 2.05 Bet365 ❌

Derrick Jones Jr only played 18 minutes and had 3 FG attempts today, ended with 6 points

9. Ivica Zubac O20.5PRA Pacers @ Clippers Odd 1.86 Bet365  ✅

Zubac did well for the first half, and finished the night with 9 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 assists

Tonight's NBA Props:

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O30.5P Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365

Quite self-explanatory with Giannis's last 5 performances against AD.

2. Giannis Antetokounmpo O47.5PRA Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365

Giannis always performs well when matched up with AD. In the last 5 games against AD, he averaged nearly 41/11/7. Lakers is expected to play better defense on Giannis today but it may also leave Giannis to kick out to Bucks capable shooters. I would not surprised if he gets 7-8 assists tonight.

3. Andrew Wiggins O10.5P Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.74 Bet365

Wiggins went over this prop in the last 6/8 games. Past performances also show a good record for Wiggins when he played vs the Heat. I can see a correlation between Wiggins's performance and GSW's winning chances, and I believe GSW will win this crucial game and Wiggins score around 14, 15 points.

4. Draymond Green O21.5 PRA Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.83 Sportsbet

21.5 is quite low for Draymond, 23.5 would been more fair in my opinion. As GSW is now fighting for a play-in spot, Draymond would see 30+ minutes, playing a major role in defense and facilitating the offense.

5. Josh Giddey O14.5 PA Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.87 Sportsbet

Giddey is gaining more confidence recently, especially with a near triple-double last game. As his confidence goes up, his productivity on the court will go up as well. I expect another good game from Giddey.

6. Zion Williamson O6.5R Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.72 Sportsbet

Thunder gave a lot of rebounds to PFs this season and against Zion, I don't see no trouble for him getting 8-10 rebounds this game.

7. PJ Washington O11.5 PA Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.83 Bet365

Washington is averaging 32+ minutes per game for the Mavs, and having seen his performance last game and look at the stats vs King I believe 12+ points and 1+ assists is totally achievable. 

8. DeAaron Fox O26.5P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.96 Sportsbet

Fox performed well against the Mavs. Last 6 games vs the Mavs, he averaged 34 points.

9. Giannis Antetokounmpo O0.5B Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.6 Bet365

With Lebron out, I expect AD to have more FGA in the paint, thus more opportunities for Giannis to block. Since 2021, Giannis always had 1 block or more every time he played against the Lakers.





Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NBA Players Prop Analysis 24/10/2024

S eason record: 15-8 Units profit: +5.3U, Average Odd: 1.89 Last picks record: 11-7 Recap of last picks (23/10/2024): Pacers @ Pistons 1. Pascal Siakam O21.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365  ❌ 2. Myles Turner O7.5R Odd 2.16 Unibet  ✅ Bucks @ 76ers 1. Giannis Antetokoumpo O28.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet  ❌ 2. Damian Lilliard U7.5A Odd 1.8 Tab  ✅ Nets @ Hawks 1. Jalen Johnson O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes  ✅ . Cavaliers @ Raptors 1. Scottie Barnes O7.5R Odd 2.00 Tab  ❌ 2. Donovan Mitchell O25.5P Odd 1.88 Sportsbet  ❌ Magic @ Heat 1. Bam Adebayo O16.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet  ❌ 2. Paolo Banchero U22.5P Odd 1.95 Tab  ❌ Bulls @ Pelicans 1. Nikola Vucevic O10.5R Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes  ✅ 2. Zion Williamson O6.5R Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes VOID 3. Dejounte Murray U21.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet  ✅ Hornets @ Rockets 1. Nick Richards O7.5R Odd 2.05 Bet365  ✅ 2. Fred Vanvleet U17.5P Odd 1.90 Tab  ✅ Grizzlies @ Jazz 1. Santi Aldama O8.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365  ✅ 2. Jordan Clarkson ...
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 06/06/2024

  S eason record: 354-285 Last picks record: 9-3 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 2. Daniel Gafford O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅ 3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365 ❌ 5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365 ✅ 7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 8. Karl Anthony Towns O19.5P Odd 1.76 Unibet✅ 9. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet✅ 11. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 12. Anthony Edwards O6.5A Odd 1.86 Sportsbet❌ 06/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 There are a few reasons I like this line. First, his performance against Dallas has been very well in the regular season. Mavs show no signs of ability to contain the 2 Js of Celtics, especially Tatum. He had 37 and 32 points in those 2 games, with only 20 FGA. Compared to his r...
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Prop Analysis 22/10/2024

Season Record: 0-0 Last Pick record: 10-2  (17/06/2024) 22/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated) 1. Jalen Brunson U28.5P Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes Demanding 29 points in the first game of the season is not an easy task for any players, including Brunson. Celtics is also a good defensive team, and only allowed Brunson to score 15 points in the first game last season. 2. Jrue Holiday U13.5P  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.85 Tab Celtics has great firepower, and Holiday won't need to take many shots at all. Jrue averaged 12.5 points last season. And with this being the first game, and Jrue is a 34-year-old guard who plays on both ends of the floor, and also considering Celtics has a good bench, I don't expect Jrue to play more than 30 minutes this game. 3. Karl Anthony Towns U11.5R  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.83 PointsBet KAT has not averaged 11 or more rebounds for the past 5 seasons. Also considering Celtics's starting Center is Al Horford, who tends to stay outside the peri...
Post a Comment
Read more