S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Recap of yesterday's pick (26/03/2024):
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O30.5P Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌
In a game of the season where Giannis played 46 minutes, but was 1/6 FT, and failed to score more than 6 points in nearly 20 minutes of playing time in the 4th and 2OT, it's just an unlucky day.
2. Giannis Antetokounmpo O47.5PRA Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅
Just like my prediction, Giannis has a lot of assist chances. He ended the night with 29/21/11.
3. Andrew Wiggins O10.5P Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅
10.5 is too low for Wiggins, and tonight's performance from Wiggins proves that. He finishes with 17 points with efficient shooting.
4. Draymond Green O21.5 PRA Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.83 Sportsbet ❌
Draymond ended with 9/8/4.
5. Josh Giddey O14.5 PA Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.87 Sportsbet ✅
As expected, when Giddey gains his confidence back he is a stats filler. He scored 8 points in 1 minute today, and ended the night with 25/9/4
6. Zion Williamson O6.5R Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.72 Sportsbet ❌
Zion was lazy today on the board in the second half. First half he grabs 4 rebounds, second half just one.
7. PJ Washington O11.5 PA Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅
PJ Washington played extremely well in the first quarter, ended with 14/13/2.
8. DeAaron Fox O26.5P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ❌
Fox scored 14 points at half, continuing to score 4 points for the remainder of the night.
9. Giannis Antetokounmpo O0.5B Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.6 Bet365 ✅
Giannis got this done halfway through the first quarter, and ended with 3 blocks
Tonight's NBA Props:
1. Lebron James O7.5R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
With Lebron having a rest day plus all the starters played 40+ minutes, Lebron will most likely play a lot today. Would not be surprised if he can get 10 rebounds
2. Jaren Jackson Jr 6+R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 2.0 Sportsbet
This odd is too good, for a center playing vs a fatigued Lakers squad. Shots are likely to be missed a lot and I would be very surprised if he cannot get 6 rebounds. I believe he would likely get 8-10 rebounds today. For 8+ rebounds odd is 3.8 and for 10+ rebounds odd is 8.5
3. Josh Hart U13.5R Knicks @ Raptors Odd 1.9 Bet365
13.5 is incredibly high for anyone who does not play center, even for Josh Hart's standard. Josh Hart plays as SF in the recent Knicks rotation, but I still believe 13.5 is still quite high. 11.5 would be a better prop for betting over.
4. James Harden O28.5 PRA Clippers @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365
Against the former team, which Harden did not like too much, I expect Harden to be more involved today. 15/5/10 is achievable for the former MVP.
5. Myles Turner O22.5 PR Pacers @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365
There have been some questionable performances from Vucevic recently, which I believe is an advantage for Turner. Also this season against the Bulls, Myles Turner is averaging 31.7 PR in 3 games.
6. Paulo Banchero 7+R Warriors @ Magic Odd 1.68 Bet365
GSW gives the most rebounds to opponents PF, at 13.45 rebounds per game. The last time they met this season, Banchero got 12 rebounds. Consider 8+, 10+ option if the odd is good but remember to minimize the stake.
7. Richaun Holmes 8+R Nets @ Wizards Odd 1.8 Tab![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEi7-vhvC_wNRYz-ktkDO2MA6P4gx-S_tPfrew_H3rZdF7N19bhkRdY2j52QL0I6Vpd5LH7Kc33Hd0GFSHNtSsFbttMjVffrGoC8Y7EeOZ7mM079_BOKb5wa9MLKs1l45J6ZX6eQjlsvJUghY0wh7_N9-GOWD3eRHC0CqVH4j1GpqGWpw3iSY3Wy8e7MMI0=w400-h150)
Just look at Holmes's stats last 4 games, he has been getting close to 30 minutes a game recently and is quite effective on the board as well. 10+ rebounds with the odd of 3.0 is also interesting
8. Michael Porter Jr U18.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Sportsbet
Normally I would not bet under for MPJ but recently there has been a drop in his performance, which could have come from his brother's scandal. Just wish him all the best. But for now 18.5 is quite high, 16.5 would be more like 50/50 in my opinion.
Updated before Denver game:
9. Nikola Jokic O8.5A Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Bet365
With Murray out the offense will run through Jokic. This
season without Jamal Murray Jokic is averaging over 10 assists.
10. Christian Braun O13.5 PRA Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.95 Tab
With Murray out Braun will score more playing time, most
likely 25+mins. Braun is quite a good rebounder for a guard.
11. Grayson Allen O11.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Sportsbet
Allen will see plenty of spacing this game. This game will
be highly over 230 points and I believe Allen will score at least 2+ threes.
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