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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 28/03/2024

 

Recap of yesterday's pick (27/03/2024):

1. Lebron James O7.5R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅

Lebron exceeded all expectations for yesterday, ended with 14 rebounds.

2. Jaren Jackson Jr 6+R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 2.0 Sportsbet ✅

Jaren Jackson had a great 4th quarter, ended the night with 9 rebounds

3. Josh Hart U13.5R Knicks @ Raptors Odd 1.9 Bet365 ✅

Josh Hart had just 6 rebounds, not even half of the prop.

4. James Harden O28.5 PRA Clippers @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅

Great night for James Harden in terms of stats, he ended with 16 points, 14 assists and 5 rebounds.

5. Myles Turner O22.5 PR Pacers @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌

Turner played way under his usual performance today, with only 12 points, and 4 rebounds in 25 minutes.

6. Paulo Banchero 7+R Warriors @ Magic Odd  1.68 Bet365 ✅

Banchero ended the night with 8 rebounds, in a poor shooting night.

7. Richaun Holmes 8+R  Nets @ Wizards Odd 1.8 Tab ❌

I believe he had an injury early in the game, ended with just 12 minutes of playing time.

8. Michael Porter Jr U18.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Sportsbet ✅

Even though he scored 18 points, 4 of his points came in the last 3 minutes of the game. We will take that.

9. Nikola Jokic O8.5A Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅

Another near triple-double game for Jokic, he ended with 9 assists

10. Christian Braun O13.5 PRA Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.95 Tab ❌

This is a bad analysis, as Christain Braun is not a good shooter or shot creator so he attempted very limited FG. 

11. Grayson Allen O11.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅

Grayson Allen started shooting 3s back again after last 2 games, finished with 3/7 3pts, and 13 points.

Tonight's NBA Props:

1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Celtics @ Hawks Odd 1.87 Sportsbet



One thing I don't doubt about Tatum is his mentality. After almost every loss, Tatum up his scoring number almost every game, with a pattern on a quick glance of 5-7 more on average. I believe he will score 30+ today and get the W!

2. Giannis Antetokounmpo 30+P Bucks @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365

Similar to Tatum's mentality, Giannis tends to perform better in the next game after every loss. The Bucks lost a game where they could win if Giannis could shoot better free throws, I expected him to have better free throw percentages today. Also, the matchup against Zion is pretty comfortable for Giannis, he scored over 30 points in all of his last 5 games when facing Zion.

3. Jonas Valanciunas O16.5PR Bucks @ Pelicans Odd 1.9 Bet365

Against a tall and strong front-court line-up from the Bucks, Valanciunas will see more playing time compared to the last few games. I expect Valanciunas to score 12+ and grab around 9-10 rebounds. There are only 3, or 4 games between the 4th seed and the 9th seed, so I expect the Pelicans to play at their best today against the exhausted Bucks

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