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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 30/03/2024

Recap of yesterday's pick (29/03/2024):

1. Paul George O25.5PR Clippers @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌

Bad analysis, PG did not attempt a lot of shots + not active in rebounding. 

2. Paolo Banchero O21.5P Clippers @ Magic Odd 1.92 Sportsbet ✅

Banchero had a great 3rd quarter, finishing with 23 points

3. Jeremy Sochan O9.5RA Knicks @ Spurs Odd 2.25 Bet365 ❌

Another bad analysis, Sochan is not a consistent player.

4. Jamal Murray O1.5SB Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.45 Bet365 (VOID)

5. Kevin Durant O30.5 PR Suns @ Thunder Odd 1.71  Bet365 ✅

Durant ended with 26 points and 6 rebounds.

6. Jalen Williams O0.5B Suns @ Thunder Odd 2.25 Bet365 ✅

Williams is a good defender, and this bet is a positive bet.

7. D'Angelo Russell O3.5 3M Lakers @ Pacers Odd 2.35 Bet365 ❌

Russel decided to not shoot 3s today.

8. De'Aaron Fox 25+P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.68 Sportsbet ❌

Fox finished with 23 points, in the 4th quarter he scored I think only 4 points.

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):

1. Clint Capela O10.5R Bucks @ Hawks Odd 1.83 Bet365

Hawks does not have (m)any bigs to contain Giannis and the other bigs of the Bucks. I expect Capelan to see more playing time today. Capela consistently had 10+ rebounds for the last couple of games, and I expect 12-13 rebounds from him today

2. Jrue Holiday O18.5 PAR Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365

With Celtics losing 2 in a row to the Hawks, I expect they will play better defense today. Jrue can have 5 rebounds and 5 assists, and expect him to score 10+P against the Pelicans. Last 5 games against the Pelicans, he averaged 23.2 points, with no game score lower than 17. 

3. Tatum O25.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.83 Bet365



Most of the time I would not bet under for Tatum after a loss, let alone 2 losses in a row. 25.5 is also quite a low prop for Tatum

4. Al Horford O6.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 2.05 Bet365

Celtics need more size in the paint, and Horford is scoring well in the last few games, averaging over 15.2 points. I expect him to play 27+ minutes today, with 10+P.

5. Wendell Carter Jr U0.5 3M Grizzlies @ Magic Odd 2.6 Bet365

Wendell Carter Jr is capable of shooting from 3, but he only shoots around 2 threes a game, and I don't expect him to make 1 of them out of 2. 


6. Dejonte Murray O2.5SB Bucks @ Hawks Odd 2.4 Bet365

Murray is a good defender, who hit over this prop 5/5 recent games. Bucks also turns over quite a lot, so I believe this odd is quite generous.

7. Zion Williamson O25.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365

With Brandon Ingram out, Zion will have to step up his game to help the Pelicans have a good playoffs seed. He hit this prop 3/3 recent games, and 3/4 vs Celtics. 

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