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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 04/04/2024

 

Recap of last picks 4 days ago (30/03/2024):

1. Clint Capela O10.5R Bucks @ Hawks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

Capela ended with 8 rebounds.

2. Jrue Holiday O18.5 PAR Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅

Holiday fills the stats sheets with 13 points, 8 rebounds, and 7 assists.

3. Tatum O25.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

Tatum ended with 23 points.

4. Al Horford O6.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 2.05 Bet365 ✅ 

Holford ended with 9 points.

5. Wendell Carter Jr U0.5 3M Grizzlies @ Magic Odd 2.6 Bet365 ❌

He ended with 3 3PM in the 3rd and 4th quarters.

6. Dejonte Murray O2.5SB Bucks @ Hawks Odd 2.4 Bet365 ❌

Murray ended with 0 steals and blocks.

7. Zion Williamson O25.5P Celtics @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌

Zion ended with 25 points. 

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):

1. Domatas Sabonis O32.5 PR Kings @ Knicks Odd 1.83 Bet365

Knicks is among the top teams in the league in allowing opponents' Centers the most points and rebounds. Sabonis is averaging 20/14 and versus a bad defensive Knicks team I expect his stat line to be at least the same or better.

2. James Harden O8.5A Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.83 Bet365



Harden is on a cold scoring streak. That being said, he is still delivering assists as usual, averaging 8.6 assists/game last 5 games, 9.6 last 5 home games and 8.6 assists last 5 games vs Denver. Harden plays like/as a PG most of the time, and Denver is allowing nearly 10 assists per game for opponents' PGs, I expect him can get 10 assists in this game played at home.

3. Joel Embiid U26.5P 76ers @ Heat Odd 1.88 Sportsbet

Embiid is on minute restrictions and Heat has always done a great job in containing Embiid in scoring. I expect him to play under 30 minutes today, and get around 20-25 points or close. 

4. Nikola Jokic O21.5 RA Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.86 Bet365

Clippers just allowed Sabonis to have impressive stats of 20 rebounds and 9 assists last game. Jokic is a better version of Sabonis so I expect him to have around 10 assists this game. Denver is aiming for the number 1 spot and I expect a full effort from Jokic.

5. Butler O20.5P 76ers @ Heat Odd 1.88 Sportsbet

Butler is him when it comes playoffs time, or decisive games. This game is really important for the Heat, as if they lose, they will likely move down to the 7th seed and face the 

6. Luka Donicic U55.5 PRA Hawks @ Mavericks Odd 1.8 Sportsbet 

Luka had not gone over this bet 9 out of the last 10 games. I expect this trend to continue, as it is also expected to be a blowout game.

7. Stephen Curry O9.5 RA Warriors @ Rockets Odd 1.86 Bet365

This is a crucial game for both teams and I expect Curry to show up once again to keep the Warriors' playoffs hope alive. Curry is averaging 7 assists in the last 5 games and when facing Rockets he is averaging around 13 RA. Rockets gave the top 5 most rebounds to PGs, with nearly 7.5 rebounds per game for the last 7 games. I expect Curry to have around 6 rebounds and 6 assists or more.

8. Russel Westbrook O15.5 PR Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.95 Bet365
Westbrook averaged 15points and nearly 6 rebounds when playing without Kawhi Leonard and similar number when playing vs the Nuggets. I believe he will see more playing time when Kawhi is out

9. Daniel Gafford O19.5 PR Hawks @ Mavericks Odd 1.9 Bet365
Lively is out so Gafford will see more playing time. Without Lively, he is averaging 15/10. I expect him to perform similarly today against the Hawks. Double double at 3.8 odd is also interesting. 

10. Jeff Green O5.5P Warriors @ Rockets Odd 1.9 Bet365
1 rule to bet for Jeff Green is if it is not a close game/ important game, he will see limited minutes as Rockets will prioritise the development of young players more in those games. In opposition, in games that are important/close games like today, he will see more minutes. I expect Jeff Green to have around 23 minutes, with 8/4. Bet over for 2.5 rebounds is also something to consider.

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