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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 05/04/2024

 

Recap of yesterday's picks (04/04/2024):

1. Domatas Sabonis O32.5 PR Kings @ Knicks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

Sabonis played not on par with his usual performances today, especially in the first half. He ended with 17/11.

2. James Harden O8.5A Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌

This bet is quite unlucky. Harden ended with 8 assists and I believe he had nearly the last 6 minutes of the fourth quarter without an assist.

3. Joel Embiid U26.5P 76ers @ Heat Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌

Embiid is still a scoring machine. Even though this game is not a good shooting night for him, with 11/25 FG, he still scores 29 points, with 3 3PM. Betting under on his rebounds should be a much better option.

4. Nikola Jokic O21.5 RA Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.86 ✅ Bet365

Jokic still dominated with 17 rebounds and 10 assists.

5. Butler O20.5P 76ers @ Heat Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌

Butler ended with 20 points, with only 2 points scored in the 4th.

6. Luka Donicic U55.5 PRA Hawks @ Mavericks Odd 1.8 Sportsbet  ✅

With this game is a blow out and Donicic sits out most of the time in the 4th, this is an easy under. He ended with 25/12/8.

7. Stephen Curry O9.5 RA Warriors @ Rockets Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅

Just like the prediction, Curry ended with 6 rebounds and 6 assists.

8. Russel Westbrook O15.5 PR Nuggets @ Clippers Odd 1.95 Bet365 ✅

Westbrook played well for the later parts of the game, and ended with 12 points and 6 rebounds.

9. Daniel Gafford O19.5 PR Hawks @ Mavericks Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌

Gafford got into foul trouble early in the game. He only play over 20 minutes, ended with 6/4.

10. Jeff Green O5.5P Warriors @ Rockets Odd 1.9 Bet365 ✅ 

Jeff Green had an efficient night on the free throw lines, and ended with 8 points.

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):

1. RJ Barrett O18.5P Raptors @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365
Barrett is averaging 21 points per game this season, over 22 points in the last 10, and 28 points in the last game. He also has huge motivation factor. He is the main player on a very dysfunctional Raptors team so I just cannot see the reason why the odd is that low.
2. Gary Trent Jr O18.5 PR Raptors @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365


Normally I would not bet 2 players on the same team, but these odds are just very low for these players. Trent Jr is averaging over 22 points in the last 10 names, along with 3.5 rebounds. He is a very capable shooter who can shoot 3 3PM every given night. Bucks is also not a great team at defending guards.

3. Fred Vanvleet 15+P Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365
Vanvleet is averaging a bit over 15 points in the last 10 games, and in the last game vs Heat, he scored 32 points. This is a crucial game for the Rockets, if they lose again then playing hopes will disappear.

4. Jaylen Green U23.5 Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.90 Sportsbet
Heat allows the least points per game to opponents' SG. In the last 5 games vs Heat, Green has not scored more than 23 points once.

5. Jimmy Butler 20+P Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.91 Sportsbet
Butler is Butler, and when times come close to the end of the season, I believe he will up his scoring game. Heat is still fighting for the 6th spot and Butler has the motivation to play great today.

6. Andre Drummond O15.5 PR Knicks @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365
Drummond recently see more playing time, with around 20-25 minutes per game. He is averaging nearly 10 points and 12 rebounds, and I expect him to do similarly today against the Knicks.

7. Jonas Valanciunas O21.5 PR Spurs @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365
Without Zion, Valanciunas is averaging around 16/12. Against the Spurs, I believe he will be able to grab a lot of rebounds against Wemby. Pelicans is still fighting for a great spot so he will play around 25-30 minutes

8. Kyrie Irving 8+A Warriors @ Mavericks Odd 2.15 Sportsbet
With Donicic out, I expect Irving to be the main ball handler/ facilitator. Warriors is a very favorable matchup for Irving as well, I would not be surprised if he gets 10 assists.

9. Timmy Hardaway Jr 15+P Warriors @ Mavericks Odd 1.76 Bet365
Without Donicic, Hardaway Jr saw more playing times, averaging around 22 points in the last 5 games without Donicic.

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