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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 06/04/2024

 

Season record: 52-39
Yesterday's record: 6-3

Recap of yesterday's picks (05/04/2024):

1. RJ Barrett O18.5P Raptors @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365 ✅
Barrett ended with 26 points in 34 minutes.
2. Gary Trent Jr O18.5 PR Raptors @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
Gary Trent Jr had a monster game, ended with 31 points in a win. 
3. Fred Vanvleet 15+P Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.83 Bet365❌
Vanvleet ended with 13 points.
4. Jaylen Green U23.5 Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.90 Sportsbet✅
Green had a poor shooting night, with 6/18 FG and finished with 21 points
5. Jimmy Butler 20+P Heat @ Rockets Odd 1.91 Sportsbet✅
Butler played just well enough today, ended with 22 points 
6. Andre Drummond O15.5 PR Knicks @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
Drummond's rebounding ability alone gives him 16 rebounds, surpassing the props already, along with 10 points in 24 minutes
7. Jonas Valanciunas O21.5 PR Spurs @ Pelicans Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
Valanciunas have monster game in a loss today, with 26 points, and 7 rebounds
8. Kyrie Irving 8+A Warriors @ Mavericks Odd 2.15 Sportsbet ❌
Irving finished with 7 assissts, could not have 1 more assists in the last 6 minutes of the game.
9. Timmy Hardaway Jr 15+P Warriors @ Mavericks Odd 1.76 Bet365❌
Hardaway Jr finished with 13 points, on the bench for the majority of the 4th quarter

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):

1. Jarrett Allen O2.5A Cavaliers @ Lakers Odd 2.4 Bet365
Obviously if this odd is any lower it would not be sensible to bet over. But 2.4 odd is quite interesting, especially in the last 2 games Allen got 4 and 5 assists. Playing versus Lakers with a lot of bigs, Allen is expected to play 30+ minutes, and another game with 3+ assists sound not that far-fetched

2. Max Strus O17.5PRA Cavaliers @ Lakers Odd 1.9 Bet365
Strus is averaging 13/5/4 in the last 5 games. He is seeing more minutes in the last few games (30+) and if he continues to play 30+ minutes, I don't see why this should be a challenge to the Cav's sharpshooter.

3. Donovan Mitchell O3.5R Cavaliers @ Lakers Odd 1.87 Sportsbet
Lakers is showing a lot of rebounds generosity lately towards opponents PG, ranking first in the league in that category in the last 7 games. Mitchell is expected to play 35+ minutes as usual, and 4 rebounds is quite a low number.

4. Lebron James O24.5P Cavaliers @ Lakers Odd 2.0 Sportsbet


Lebron averaged nearly 27 points when facing his old team Cavs. Besides, Lakers also need this win as it will help them to compete for the 7th spot with the Kings. What else does Lebron need for motivation to score a lot in this game? PA at 31.5 is also a good option.

5. Rui Hachimura O14.5P Cavaliers @ Lakers Odd 2.0 Sportsbet
With both Lebron and AD listed as questionable, Rui will likely see more minutes. And even with Lebron and AD, he still averaged close to 20 points per game in the last 5 games. I expect him to play 30+ minutes this game, and score between 17-20 points.

6. Joel Embiid U28.5P 76ers @ Grizzlies Odd 1.86 Bet365
Embiid will likely be on minutes restriction for the remainder of the season. Grizzlies is also not too generous with allowing points for opponents centers so I won't expect Embiid to score 30 points today. Also this game should be a blowout game, and I don't see reasons why he should play more than 28 minutes.

7. Clint Capela O20.5PR Hawks @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Bet365
Denver is allowing to many points for centers, in fact, they are top 5 in the league in such stat. Seems like whenever Jokic carries the scoring, he also allows the opponents' centers to score a lot as well. Capela also had a good record against Jokic. I expect a double double game from Capela.

8. Bogdan Bogdanovic O19.5 PR Odd 1.9 Sportsbet


Bogdanovic is averaging 22/6 for the last 5 games. This prop is quite low, considering he has shot quite a lot recently. In most games, he took 15+FG, and I don't expect him to shoot any less today as the Hawks may need this win to have a home-court advantage over the Bulls in the play-in. 
 9. Jokic O8.5A Odd 1.86 Bet365
With games without Gordon, Jokic is averaging over 11 assists. Also Jokic currently scoring over 30 points per game, which I dont think is sustainable. I expect a less scoring, more assist game for Jokic

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