S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Season record: 61-49
Last picks record: 4-6
Recap of recent picks (07/04/2024):
1. Kyrie Irving O24.5P Rockets @ Mavericks Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅
Irving scored almost double that, ended with 48 points in OT.
2. Ivicia Zubac O1.5A Cavaliers @ Clippers Odd 2.15 Bet365 ❌
Zubac only had 1 assist in 27 minutes.
3. Luka Donicic U32.5P Rockets @ Mavericks Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ❌
With the game going to OT, Donicic ended with 37 points
4. Nikola Vucevic O13.5RA Bulls @ Magic Odd 2.05 Bet365 ❌
Vucevic has become incredibly inconsistent recently, we will avoid him in the future. He ended with 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
5. Bam Adebayo O17.5P Heat @ Pacers Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ✅
Bam Adebayo ended with 20 points.
6. Devin Booker O26.5P Pelicans @ Suns Odd 1.76 Bet365 ❌
Booker ended with 25 points in an efficient shooting night. This could be a great bet if Booker decided to score in the 4th. Surprise of this game is Bradley Beal.
7. Victor Wembanyama O36.5 PR 76ers @ Spurs Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅
Wemby went off with 57PRA in an OT loss to the 76ers.
8. Giannis Antetokounmpo O28.5P Knicks @ Bucks Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌
Giannis ended with 28 points.
9. Isiah Hartenstein O16.5PR Knicks @ Bucks Odd 1.91 Sportsbet ✅
Hartenstein played well today, and ended with 18/10.
10. Joel Embiid U14.5 RA 76ers @ Spurs Odd 1.89 Sportsbet(VOID)
11. Anthony Edwards O10.5RA Timberwolves @ Lakers Odd 1.71 Bet365 ❌
Ant grabbed a whole of 1 rebound all game. The only thing good is he had 8 assists this game.
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O27.5P Celtics @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Sportsbet
Bucks lost 4 in a row. I can see the frustrations on Giannis, he hates losing. Now is the great time to bet on Giannis, against the "best" team in the NBA, Giannis will have a lot of motivation to perform well in this game. I would not be surprised if he score 33-35 points.
2. RJ Barrett O35.5PRA Pacers @ Raptors Odd 1.92 Sportsbet
35.5 sounds high, but there are a few reasons I like this bet.
RJ Barrett is still very underrated imo, I believe he is capable of 25/7/7 when Barnes is absent. Raptors is also quite understand, I believe they are 1 piece away (center) from being a playoffs contender again. They have a great young core at both guards and forward positions, and I believe the Raptors will finish this season strong.
3. Jimmy Butler O22.5P Heat @ Hawks Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
It's Butler, I know this season he has not been consistent at all, but the closer playoffs come, the better he performs. Hawks is a good test for Butler, as they are both likely to play in the play-in, I believe Butler will bring his A form this game.
4. Jaylen Brown 20+P Celtics @ Bucks Odd 1.74 Bet365
This is likely to be a close game. Recently Brown attempted an identical amount of shots to Tatum, and with close to 20 attempts per night, 20 points should not be a challenge for Brown.
5. Pascal Siakam O22.5P Pacers @ Raptors Odd 1.86 Bet365
There are 2 reasons: facing his former team and the Raptors is actually not that bad now with the return of Barrett. The spread is currently around -13 for Pacers but I believe it should be -7 is a more accurate spread. With the Raptors still missing a true center, Siakam should be able to score some points in the paint.
6. Nikola Vucevic O12.5 RA Knicks @ Bulls Odd 1.83 Bet365
Vucevic is really inconsistent in scoring, but he has good assist numbers in the last few games, and is not that bad at rebounding. Knicks is also not that good at rebounding and assists to centers, allowing around 16 rebounds and 6 assists per game to the opponent's centers.
7. Jabari Smith Jr O23.5PRA Magic @ Rockets Odd 1.86 Bet365
Rockets is out of the play-in, so the Rockets's young core should see more playing time. Smith Jr also has some motivation to play well in this game, facing the number 1 pick in his draft Banchero.
8. Jabari Smith Jr O1.5A Magic @ Rockets Odd 2.4 Bet365
Similar reason above, 2.4 odd is quite interesting, as he will likely play 33+ minutes.
9. Shai Gilgeous Alexander O28.5P Kings @ Thunder Odd 1.9 Bet365
Shai had not played well in the last few games. But there are 2 things I like about this prop. In the last 5 games against the Kings, he averaged 37.6 points, with the lowest game of 33. Secondly, there is a motivation factor for OKC as well as Shai, as they could accelerate and grab the 1st or 2nd seed with 4 games left and only 1 game behind Wolves and Nuggets. If OKC has the first seed, Shai would have a much higher chance of the MVP (recency bias of last few games, 1st seed, voter fatigue for Jokic).
10. Nikola Jokic O8.5A Nuggets @ Jazz Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
1 concern about a high-potential blowout game but I also think Jokic will still play at least 30 minutes this game, due to 1st seed chance. Assist seems like a safer option compared to points (28.5) and rebounds (13.5).
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