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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 11/04/2024

Season record: 68-59

Last picks record: 3-4

Recap of yesterday's picks (10/04/2024):

1. Nikola Jokic O8.5A Wolves @ Nugget Odd 1.9 Sportsbet ❌
Jokic ended with 7 assists.
2. Anthoney Edwards O26.5P Wolves @ Nugget Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 
Edwards ended with 25 points.
3. Chet Holmgren O1.5A Spurs @ Thunder Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅
Chet ended with 2 assists in 15 minutes.
4. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Spurs @ Thunder Odd 1.86 Bet365❌
Wemby did not play today. The game is a blowout game, Chet ended with 9 points.
5. Damian Lillard O26.5P Magic @ Bucks Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅
Lilliard ended with 29 points.
6. Jimmy Butler O21.5P Mavericks @ Heat Odd 1.92 Sportsbet❌
Butler still scored efficiently, but his shooting attempts went down due to the return of Tyler Herro.He ended with 12 points.
7. Michael Porter Jr O6.5R Wolves @ Nugget Odd 2.0 Bet365 ✅
MPJ ended with 8 rebounds.

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated):

1. Jabari Smith Jr O16.5PA Rockets @ Jazz Odd 1.86 Bet365
Rockets does not make the play-in, so for the remaining few games of the season, I expect Smith Jr to have 35+ minutes.
2. Jonas Valanciunas 10+P Pelicans @ Kings Odd 1.95 Sportsbet
Valanciunas is a player that is playable in certain matchup. Against some teams (with good offensive bigs), he often play 25 minutes, against others he only gets around 15 minutes. Pelicans need size to defend and rebound against Sabonis.

3. Jonas Valanciunas O6.5R Pelicans @ Kings Odd 1.72 Sportsbet

Same reason above.
4. Jalen Duren O24.5 Bulls @ Pistons Odd 1.9 Bet365
Against slower older centers Duren tends to do well. I expect Duren to play 30+ minutes in this game.
5. Ryan Rupert O14.5 PRA Warriors @ Blazers Odd 1.86 Bet365
For a starter that play 30+ mins consistently, 14.5 is quite a low benchmark for PRA. Rupert is not yet efficient at shooting the ball, but I believe against the Warriors who just borderline top 10 in most points per game for SG, he will shoot better.
6. Donte DiVincenzo O6.5RA Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.74 Bet365
DiVincenzo played around 35 minutes in the last 5 games, and if he continues to have such playing time, 6.5 RA is not a hard mark to pass.
7. CJ McCollum O33.5PRA Pelicans @ Kings Odd 1.86 Bet365
McCollum is having a good scoring streak with the absent of Brandon Ingram. I believe he will continue this streak. Given his recent scoring numbers and his minutes likely to be 35+, 25/5/5+ does not sound to far-fetched.

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