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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 25/04/2024

Season record: 117-102

Last picks record: 3-4

Recap of last picks (23/04/2024):

1. Kristaps Porzingis U18.5P Heat @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
2. Payton Pritchard O13.5 PRA Heat @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
3. Kevin Love O11.5PRA Heat @ Celtics Odd 1.95 Bet365❌
4. Herbert Jones O16.5PRA Pelicans @ Thunder Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
5. Jonas Valanciunas O10.5R Pelicans @ Thunder Odd 1.72❌ Sportsbet
6. Bam Adebayo O18.5P Heat @ Celtics Odd 1.91 Sportsbet✅
7. Brandon Ingram O19.5P Pelicans @ Thunder Odd 1.9 Bet365❌

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

1. Franz Wagner O19.5P Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365
2. Jarrett Allen O12.5R Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365
For the first 2 games, Magic shows their weakness in defending centers from getting rebounds. Allen grabbed 18 rebounds in game 1, then 20 rebounds in game 2. 
3. Jarrett Allen O27.5PR Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.86 Bet365
same with 2, Allen is also capable of scoring 16+ points every game. Most of Allen's shots are around the basket, and he also got fouls quite a lot in the last 2 games, taking 6-8 free throws.
4. Jalen Brunson O33.5PR Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365
Brunson is the main scorer on the team and even though his scoring efficiency is not good in the last 2 games, he still shoot 26-29 times a game. When you shoot that much, scoring 30 should not be too hard. Rebounding number is also something to consider, as he will likely play 40+ minutes. Brunson got 7 and 8 rebounds in the first 2 games.
5. Anthony Davis O1.5B Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.6 Bet365
AD had all the motivation in this game to play defense phenomenally. I will not be surprised if he gets 4 blocks this game.
6. Lebron James O0.5B Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 2.05 Bet365
In the last 18 playoffs games, Lebron went over this figure 14 times. When the odd is 2.0+, it is hard to not bet on Lebron.
7. Lebron James O1.5SB Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.5 Bet365

Same reason as 7.
8. Anthony Davis 25+P Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.74 Bet365
Normally I would not bet over for both offensive and defensive stats of a player, as normally when they focus on offense they will likely miss defense and vice versa but for AD, it is quite complicated. The Lakers need AD on both ends of the floor, and that's their only hope to get a win against the Nuggets.
9. Josh Hart O1.5SB  Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.58 Bet365
When you play around 45 minutes a game, 2 steals and blocks should not be too hard to achieve.
10. Kelly Oubre Jr U4.5R Knicks @ 76ers Odd 2.05 Bet365
Oubre's role for the 76ers in the playoffs is quite straightforward. Defending Knicks guards. He will spend most time outside the perimeter. Among the starters, I believe he will get the least rebounds in this series.
11. Kelly Oubre Jr O2.5SB Knicks @ 76ers Odd 2.35 Bet365
Explained in 10, his main goal is to defend. In the first game he got 3 blocks, and in the second game he got 5 steals and 1 block. I expect a similar number this game.
12. Jamal Murray O23.5P Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Murray will get a ton of confidence after that last 4th quarter, especially the spectacular game-winner in game 2. I expect him to shoot high volume this game from the start, carrying that confidence.
13. Tyrese Maxey O26.5P Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.92 Sportsbet
Maxey has been the scoring leader for the 76ers and I believe this will continue to the end of the series, no matter who wins. Embiid is not at his 100% and Maxey will have to step up as the alpha on the offensive end. 
14. Moritz Wagner O4.5R Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.81 Sportsbet
Again, the biggest problem with the Magic apart from their poor shooting/ scoring ability is the ability to grab rebounds. The only Magic player who is positive in plus/minus in both games is Moritz Wagner, who actually trying very hard, both in rebounding and scoring. He got 10/5 in 13 minutes in game 1, then 12/6 in 21 minutes in game 2. Magic played better with him on the floor, and I expect him to play near 25 minutes this game. He is certainly capable of 18/8 if they play him 30 minutes.
15. Moritz Wagner 10+P Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.81 Sportsbet
Same reason as 14.
16. Josh Hart O13.5P Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.91 Sportsbet
Josh Hart usually does not score a lot on the road, but based on his last 2 performances (20+P both) and his playing time of around 45 minutes lately, it is hard to pass on him. Do I think he will continue to score 20+? Probably no. But I still think he can get to 15.
17. Joel Embiid U11.5R Knicks @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365
Embiid is not at 100% physically, as we can see in the first 2 games . This is a very important game for him and he will try his best but between rebounds and scoring he will likely spend more energy on scoring.

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