S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Season record: 177-163
Last picks record: 4-7
Recap of last picks (04/05/2024):
1. Aaron Gordon O24.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.84 Sportsbet❌
2. Karl Anthony Towns 8+R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.95 Tab❌
3. Nikola Jokic U21.5RA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
4. Kentavious Caldwell Pope O8.5P Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Sportsbet❌
5. Mike Conley O2.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.74 Bet365✅
6. Naz Reid O11.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.76 Bet365✅
7. Michael Porter Jr O1.5A Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.5 Bet365❌
8. Jamal Murray O11.5RA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.05 Bet365❌
9. Jalen McDaniels O12.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
10. Karl Anthony Towns O1.5SB Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.6 Bet365❌
11. Christain Braun O5.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
1. Franz Wagner 6+R Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.7 Sportsbet
With Wagner will likely play 40+ minutes this game, he will have more chances to grab rebounds.
2. Markelle Fultz O4.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
This is a very strange prop. Between 4 sportsbooks I look at, 1 have at 4.5, 2 at 5.5, and 6.5, which is a very wide margin and even opportunity for arbitrage. Fultz played well last game and will likely continue to see the most playing time on the Magic's bench.
3. Max Strus O9.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
Donovan Mitchell score 50 this game, which is too many. With Strus see more playing time as Niang is further away from the rotation, 9.5 is not a high mark to pass
4. Jalen Suggs O16.5PR Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.8 Ladsbroke
Suggs has gone over this prop 4/6 games of this playoffs. 2 of the games he missed, he only missed by 2 and 3.
5. Even Mobley O12.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.87 Ladsbroke
Mobley played very bad offensively last game. I expect him to have a bounce-back game, and try his hardest on both ends of the floor.
6. Moritz Wagner U10.5PR Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.95 Ladsbroke
With Allen not likely to play, Magic does not need to play Wagner often. They already have an insanely tall lineup (4 guys 6'10 or taller starting last game, not sure how many times I have seen such a line-up). Wagner will most likely see less than 10 minutes this game, with the importance of the series on the line.
7. Total points O194.5 Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.8 Bet365
This is quite a low total, even to these 2 teams' standards.
8. Darius Garland O3.5R Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.98 Ladsbroke
With Allen not playing, the Cavs lineup will be very small, and rebounds should be distributed equally between the guards. Garland has 5 and 7 rebounds in the last 2 games and I expect a similar trend this game.
9. Evan Mobley O2.5A Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.92 Sportsbet
With a small ball lineup, Mobley will have a lot of options to kick out to Cav's guards.
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