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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 06/05/2024

 Season record: 183-166

Last picks record: 6-3

Recap of last picks (05/05/2024):

1. Franz Wagner 6+R Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.7 Sportsbet✅
2. Markelle Fultz O4.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
3. Max Strus O9.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.88 Sportsbet✅
4. Jalen Suggs O16.5PR Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.8 Ladsbroke✅
5. Even Mobley O12.5P Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.87 Ladsbroke❌
6. Moritz Wagner U10.5PR Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.95 Ladsbroke✅
7. Total points O194.5 Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
8. Darius Garland O3.5R Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.98 Ladsbroke❌
9. Evan Mobley O2.5A Magic @ Cavaliers Odd 1.92 Sportsbet❌

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

1. Jaden Mcdaniels O3.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
With Timberwolves's bigs busy guarding/ box out Jokic, McDaniels will have some easy defensive rebounds. His role on the team will likely be more in the defensive/ rebounding rather than scoring. 
2. Karl Anthony Towns O25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes
From game 1 I cannot see who on the Denver team can guard KAT. I expect KAT to score 20+ tonight, with Ant will likely be tightly defended in this game. 
3. Michael Porter Jr O6.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes


MPJ got 6 rebounds last game, and the Nuggets only got 34 rebounds in total. That's very low to Nuggets's standard. They should get closer to 45 boards every game.
4. Myles Turner O16.5P Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Turner averages 19 points in 29 minutes, and when playoffs come he should see 33+ minutes each game. I expect this trend to continue in the first game of this serie.

5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 2.02 Ladbrokes
Siakam's best performances in the last series against the Bucks were the first 2 games, having 36/13 and 37/11 respectively, which are on the road. I expect a similar trend to happen.
6. Pascal Siakam O27.5PR Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Like 5. The Knicks are also quite undersized, which could allow Siakam to have easy buckets in the paint. 
7. Christain Braun O7.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.08 Sportsbet
Nuggets need to find a way to contain Ant-man. KCP can't guard him and neither can Jamal Murray in game 1. Braun is young, athletic and hustles on defense. He should be able to see close to 20 minutes this game. Lats game he had 7/2 in 19 mins of action, with a +/- of +4.
8. Jamal Murray O22.5P Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Murray needs to step up. Their bench is not good compared to the Timberwolves. 
9. Donte DiVincenzo O3.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.78 Sportsbet
Pacers is a fast-paced, high volume shooting team, which can create more rebounding chances for guards. Donte will likely play 30 minutes this game, so 4 rebounds are not that high.
10. Jalen Brunson U48.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.86 Bet365
Brunson has been going off in the first round. It's not easy to contain him, but I believe they will not make the same mistakes the 76ers did. They have above-average defense, with some above-average guard defenders. The bigs are also quite good at blocking shots in the paint. They only allow under 21 points per game for PG. 
11. Myles Turner O1.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.95 Bet365
Just like 4, I believe he will see 30+ minutes. Pacers have good shooting guards, they play fast pace which allow more possessions, so Turner will have some chances kicking the ball out to his open shooters. 
12. TJ McConnell O3.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.76 Bet365
McConnel averaged 4.5 assists so far this playoffs with around 18 minutes per game. In 2 games vs the Knicks in the regular season, he has 6 and 3 minutes in 18 and 12 minutes respectively. If he continues to play around 18 minutes, I believe his assist numbers can surpass 4 assists like the last time he played vs the Knicks in the regular season.

13. Total points O205.5 Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Unibet
Last game is a very low-scoring game for the Nuggets. They have not scored under 100 points against the Lakers. I expect Nuggets to come out strong this game.
14. Mike Conley O19.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Conley has gone over this bet in 4/5 playoffs games. He had the highest +/- last game. The offense looks lost without him on the floor. With Conley likely playing over 30 minutes this game, I expect his statlines to be somewhere like 12/4/7. 
15. Nikola Jokic O50.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Jokic needs to carry the Nuggets. As good as the Wolves bigs are, they are always in foul trouble. I expect Jokic to dominate in the paint, and go to the free-throw lines over 10 occasions.
16. Rudy Gobert U12.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Gobert is very easy to be in foul trouble.With the Nuggets will play more aggressively in the paint, Gobert will likely in foul trouble.
17. Rudy Gobert U25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Same as 16.
18. Hartenstein O21.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.83 Sportsbet
Pacers need to improve at defending center positions, as of right now Turner does not look like a DPOY candidate like he used to a few years ago. 

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