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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...

NBA Players Props Analysis 10/05/2024

  Season record: 209-193

Last picks record: 12-3

Recap of last picks (09/05/2024):

1. Darius Garland O24.5PRA Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Bet365
2. Luke Kornet O9.5PR Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Bet365
3. Max Strus U2.5A Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Bet365
4. Max Strus O13.5PR Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
5. Darius Garland O3.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 2.2 Sportsbet
6. Josh Green O5.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.93 Sportsbet
7. Josh Green O9.5PRA Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.95 Bet365
8. Payton Pritchard O5.5RA Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.9 Ladbrokes
9. Donovan Mitchell O4.5A Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes
10. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
11. Evan Mobley O24.5PRA Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes
12. Jaylin Williams O3.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 2.15 Ladbrokes
13. Jaylin Williams O8.5PRA Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.86 Bet365
14. Jalen Williams O4.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
15. PJ Washington O10.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.83 Bet365

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

Knicks @ Pacers
1. Donte DiVincenzo 20+P Odd 1.73 Sportsbet
With DiVincenzo playing close to 45 minutes and is the second option on offense for the team, I expect him to continue shooting a lot of shots. This series so far is all about offense.
2. Tyrese Haliburton O33.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Haliburton plays well last game and they have a really close chance to beat the Knicks. I expect Haliburton to have a similar performance and his teammates to step up.
3. Josh Hart O18.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
With OG out, I expect Hart to get more rebounds.
4. TJ McConnell O19.5PRA Odd 1.9 Ladbrokes
McConnel leads the second unit of the Pacers and actually can defend Brunson for quite some time last game. He leads the team in +/- in the last 2 games along with Sheppard, and I expect him to play closer to 25 minutes this game.
5. Isiah Hartenstein O11.5P Odd 1.8 Tab
With Mitchell Robinson and OG out, Hartenstein will play closer to 40 minutes.
6. Myles Turner O16.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365
Turner generally performs better at home. With the Knicks not have OG this game, I expect Turner to play better compared to the last game


7. Jalen Brunson U35.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Brunson is on a tear on the road, but I don't think he is at his best this game. I believe Brunson will get around 28-29 this game.
8. Pascal Siakam 20+P Odd 1.65 Tab
With his primary defender, OG out, Siakam should have more opportunities to drive in the paint

Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Naz Reid O15.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Any centers who have to guard Jokic in the playoffs will likely be in foul trouble. Towns and Gobert will have to go to the bench at some points to avoid that and Reid will see around 20+ minutes of playing time like the last 2 games. He benefits from the fact that Jokic will likely be tired already, so he will have some easy baskets here and there.
2. Nikola Jokic O21.5RA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Jokic will have to play his A-game today, there is no going back from now. They have lost 2 games at home so far, his teammates will have to step up as well. I expect Jokic to have more than 10 assists this game, along with 13+ rebounds.
3. Christain Braun O3.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Braun is the only Nuggets player that still has a positive +/- against the Wolves so far, and he can defend Ant for sometimes. I expect him to see the floor more this game, like in Game 1
4. Aaron Gordon O9.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Gordon has underperformed so far, he has the lowest +/- in this series. Gordon has to play more aggressively and I expect him to get 6+ rebounds this game.
5. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
With Gobert back, I expect Conley to have more options for assists. A statline of 3/6 is achievable for Conley.
6. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes
Just like 1, I expect Naz Reid to see 20+ minutes this game. With more minutes and when Jokic is tired, I expect him to grab some easy rebounds.
7. Michael Porter Jr 6+R Odd 1.62 Tab
6 rebounds is quite a low mark for MPJ. I expect him to get more involved in getting defensive rebounds.


8. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 2.3 Bet365
Holiday shows shooting capability that the Nuggets desperately need. 

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