S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Season record: 219-199
Last picks record: 10-6
Recap of last picks (10/05/2024):
Knicks @ Pacers
1. Donte DiVincenzo 20+P Odd 1.73 Sportsbet✅
2. Tyrese Haliburton O33.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
3. Josh Hart O18.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅
4. TJ McConnell O19.5PRA Odd 1.9 Ladbrokes❌
5. Isiah Hartenstein O11.5P Odd 1.8 Tab❌
6. Myles Turner O16.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
7. Jalen Brunson U35.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
8. Pascal Siakam 20+P Odd 1.65 Tab✅
Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Naz Reid O15.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌
2. Nikola Jokic O21.5RA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
3. Christain Braun O3.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅
4. Aaron Gordon O9.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
5. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅
6. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes❌
7. Michael Porter Jr 6+R Odd 1.62 Tab❌
8. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 2.3 Bet365✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Thunder @ Mavericks
1. Kyrie Irving O22.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
It's a home game and it's Kyrie. I think 22.5P is quite low for a player his caliber and Luka is not 100% healthy. He will likely play 40+ minutes as well.
2. Josh Green O5.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365
The Mavs need Josh Green in the series from the bench. He will play around 20 minutes.
3. Derrick Lively O5.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365
With Gaffords's points prop being 2x higher than Lively, I think betting over for Lively is a safer option. There will always be opportunities for a blowout, and even without a blowout, he should still see close to 20 minutes a game.
4. Josh Giddey O5.5P Odd 1.74 Sportsbet
Giddey is one of the worst starters this series/ playoffs. LAst game he only play 11 minutes as a starter, but score 8 points in those 11 minutes. He can score and rebound, and is a liability on defense. But still, OKC needs to get some scoring and playmaking ability outside of Shai. I believe he will play around 15 minutes this game
5. PJ Washington 6+R Odd 1.68 Tab
With Luka not at his 100%, I would argue there are more chances for Washington to rebound. After all, outside of Luka, he is a consistent rebounder of the team.
6. Aaron Wiggins O11.5PRA 1.87 Tab
With Giddey's performance are not well in this series, Wiggins will see around 20 minutes of playing time from the bench.
7. Chet Holmgren O25.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Chet has to step up on offense as well. Mavs centers are not that good defensively, and he should play around 32 minutes this game.
8. Luka Donicic U51.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Luka is not at his 100%, which can affect his scoring and rebounding numbers.
Celtics @ Cavaliers
1. Jaylen Brown O5.5P 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365
Brown scored very consistently in the first quarter this playoffs, recording 5+ points each first quarter so far.
2. Evan Mobley U27.5PR Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
With Allen could return this game, I think this prop is just a little bit too high. 15/12 is a good game from Mobley, with or without Allen and it would still be under the prop.
3. Al Horford O1.5R 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365
Horford will play around 6-8 minutes in the first quarter, depending on if Allen plays or not. But either way, 1 basket is not too far-fetched in those 7 minutes or so.
4. Donovan Mitchell U29.5P Odd 1.9 Sportsbet
Mitchell is the leading scorer for the Cavs and has been playing well since the absence of Allen. But with Allen might play this game, also the Celtics will guard him pretty tight this game, scoring another 30 points in the playoffs is not an easy task.
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