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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...

NBA Players Props Analysis 13/05/2024

 Season record: 231-211

Last picks record: 6-6

Recap of last picks (12/05/2024):

Knicks @ Pacers
1. Andrew Nembhard O9.5P Odd 2.0 Sportsbet
2. Tyrese Haliburton O21.5P Odd 1.84 Sportsbet
3. Jalen Brunson U33.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
4. Isiah Hartenstein 10+P Odd 1.76 Bet365
5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes

Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
2. Anthony Edwards O27.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
3. Karl Anthony Towns O6.5R Odd 1.8 Tab
4. Christain Braun O5.5PR Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
5. Nikola Jokic Player Rebound H2H Jokic vs Gobert Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes
6. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
7. Reggie Jackson O2.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

Celtics @ Cavaliers
1. Evan Mobley O2.5A Odd 2.0 Bet365
With Allen will still likely out, Mobley will have more touches. Mobley has been the only consistent scorer for the Cavs behind Mitchell. The results are not well for the Cavs, they need their shooters to step up and take over this game. I expect Mobley to have 3+ assists this game.
2. Payton Pritchard O10.5PA Odd 1.9 Bet365
Likely blowout equals more minutes for Pritchard.
3. Luke Kornet O2.5P Odd 2.2 Bet365
With Horford shows signs of tiredness this past few games, I expect Kornet to see closer to 15 minutes.
4. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365
Same as 3. Also again the same logic as before, high chance of blowout, high minutes for bench players.
5. Darius Garland O3.5R Odd 2.25 Bet365
Garland has been playing around 40 minutes a game. His rebounding number has been super consistent, with 7/10 games with 3 rebounds, 1 game with 5 and 2 games with 7 rebounds. With that being said, I still believe 4 rebounds for someone playing 40 minutes at a positive odd is a bet worth to risk.
6. Jaylen Brown U24.5P Odd 1.87 Sportsbet
Brown has been scoring hot this playoffs, surprisingly way more consistent than Tatum. But With this game will likely be a blowout, I don't expect him to play more than 32 minutes. At some points, Cavs will have to find a way to stop Brown.

7. Jayson Tatum U28.5P Odd 1.85 Tab
With this likely be a blowout, and Tatum has only went over this 1 in this playoffs, I think under is a good value bet.
8. Al Horford U7.5R Odd 1.85 Tab
Horford shows sign of tiredness last game, and I don't expect him to play more than 30 minutes. There is no reason to unless a close game, as Horford is now nearly 38 years old.
9. Caris Lervert 4+R Odd 1.66 Sportsbet


Levert plays from the bench but consistently sees around 25-30 minutes a game. He has gone over this line 4 out of the last 4 games. 
10. Derrick White O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
White is an athletic guard who plays both ends of the floor. Rebounding is the key to winning this series, and last games all Celtics starters grab a lot of rebounds (13, 7, 8, 9) except for White (3). It's unlikely the other starters will grab that many rebounds this game.
11. Jrue Holiday U12.5P Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes
Last game Jrue has 18 points. This is not his typical stats and I believe this game Jrue will come back to his main priority, to defend Cavs guards.
12. Max Strus O4.5R Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
Strus plays with 2 undersized guards and he plays nearly 40 minutes a game.

Thunder @ Mavericks
1. Josh Giddey O1.5A Odd 1.74 Bet365
Josh Giddey has shown some improvements, with +/- of -1, which is way better than his previous performances. I expect himto play 15+ minutes this game. Play making is Giddey's strength, and I believe he will have a couple of assists early in the game.
2. Jaylin Williams O7.5PR Odd 1.9 Sportsbet
Chet could be in foul trouble early when playing against the Mavs. Just not the best matchup for him and I see Jaylin Williams to play around 15 minutes. 
3. Aaron Wiggins O6.5P Odd 1.9 Tab
OKC needs to shoot better. And Aaron Wiggins can provide that shooting spark. He plays most minutes in OKC's bench, with more than 20 minutes last few games.
4. PJ Washington O23.5PRA Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes
Washington has overperformed in the last few games. OKC might change their ways of defending him, but I believe Washington can score a stat line of 15/7/2 or more following his rising confidence. 
5. Josh Green O4.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Josh Green plays really well to his role in this series. I expect Green to play 15+ minutes from the bench.
6. Luka Donicic O28.5P Odd 1.85 Tab
Luka is not at his best. But Luka is Luka, and scoring is never too much of a problem for him. Last game Luka starts strong, but only finished with 22. I believe he will step up big time this game at home.
7. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
Holmgren needs to step up for the Thunder. I still believe in his offensive talent. I expect Holmgren will play more aggresive and have similar output to game 1.

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