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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 16/05/2024

 Season record: 262-232

Last picks record: 12-4

Recap of last picks (15/05/2024):

Cavaliers @ Celtics
1. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes❌
2. Jrue Holiday U14.5P Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes✅
3. Luke Kornet O3.5P Odd 1.85 Tab✅
4. Jayson Tatum U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
5. Derrick White O13.5P Odd 1.87 Tab✅
6. Sam Hauser O3.5P Odd 2.25 Bet365✅
7. Evan Mobley O28.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
8. Jaylen Brown U7.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes✅
9. Dean Wade O1.5A Odd 2.3 Bet365✅
10. Marcus Morris O3.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅
11. Darius Garland O3.5R Odd 2.02 Sportsbet❌

Mavericks @ Thunder
1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
2. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
3. Josh Giddey O10.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
4. Timmy Hardaway Jr O6.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌
5. Derrick Lively O0.5A Odd 1.5 Bet365✅

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.83 Bet365
This is still a low line for MPJ. Normally in Denver's lineup, MPJ will get the second most defensive rebounds behind Jokic. I expect the Wolves team to aggressively attack Jokic early in the game, like the way they have done a great job in games 1 and 2, leaving MPJ some chances for some easy defensive rebounds.
2. Michael Porter JR O12.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
This line is very low for MPJ. He has not had the best performances this series, but still 12.5 is too low to not bet on. Playable till 13.5.
3. Rudy Gobert O11.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Through the last few games, we can see the Nuggets do not mind Rudy shooting free throws. He has around 7-10 free throws, which even at his poor percentage should get him around 4 points already. Gobert presence on the floor is important, despite the public criticism of his defense of Jokic, he has the highest +/- in the team. With Towns looking hurt last game, I expect Gobert to play around 40 minutes this game.
4. Anthony Edwards O29.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365
This is the most important game for the Wolves, they cannot lose. Ant is unstoppable all series until the last series, but I believe that is just a fluke and he will find his rhythm back this game. When Ant is in his expected form, he is nearly unstoppable.


5. Naz Reid O13.5PR Odd 1.9 Bet365
Just like 3, I expect the Wolves to play aggressively early at Jokic to make him tired early. Towns looked hurt last game so I expect Reid to play 20+ minutes.
6. Jamal Murray O19.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365
Still with my prediction that the Wolves will work Jokic early in the game, I expect Murray to step up on offense, especially in scoring. The last 3 games show his big improvement in shooting percentage, and I expect him to have similar FG% but with a few more shots taken today.
7. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
Very interesting odd from Sportsbet, with other bookies listed at around 1.6-1.72. As I mentioned in 3, Gobert should see around 40 minutes of this game.
8. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 2.05 Sportsbet
Same as 5, I expect Reid to see more than 20 minutes this game, taking some minutes from slightly injured KAT.
9. Karl Anthony Towns U20.5P Odd 1.87 Tab
Towns was slightly injured last game, I doubt he will sit out this important game, but I don't think he will see close to 40 minutes like other starters. He is -17 in +/- last game, and also Ant will be the main scorer this game.
10. Anthony Edwards U6.5A Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
With Conley present at the shootaround today and will likely play, and I also expect Ant to attack the rim/ shoot more, I will likely lean on over for points and under for assists. In the 2 games where he explode for 40+P, he has 3 and 5 assists. 
11. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365
The Nuggets bench plays a huge difference in this series, and even in this important game, I expect Holiday to play around 15 minutes. Holiday is a good shooter, and the 3.5 line is quite low, compared to his past performances in this serie.

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