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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 17/05/2024

  Season record: 267-238

Last picks record: 5-6

Recap of last picks (16/05/2024):

A positive record streak ends today, but not necessarily bad picks. I predict the Wolves will come out strong, but never thought it would be a blowout game that quick and that great. Good prediction at Naz Reid, Towns and Ant, bad prediction at Jamal Murray and Justin Holiday. Unlucky with Ant's points and Gobert double-double. 

Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
2. Michael Porter JR O12.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes❌
3. Rudy Gobert O11.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌
4. Anthony Edwards O29.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365❌
5. Naz Reid O13.5PR Odd 1.9 Bet365✅
6. Jamal Murray O19.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365❌
7. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.88 Sportsbet❌
8. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 2.05 Sportsbet✅
9. Karl Anthony Towns U20.5P Odd 1.87 Tab✅ 
10. Anthony Edwards U6.5A Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 
11. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365❌

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

Knicks @ Pacers
1. Tyrese Haliburton 20+P Odd 1.72 Tab
Home game, cannot lose game, Haliburton has to step up game. In the last 2 games at home, in which Pacers win both, Haliburton scored 35 and then 20 (in a blowout game). I expect Haliburton to shoot a lot this game.   


2. Jalen Brunson U34.5P Odd 1.9 Tab
Brunson explodes for 44 points last game. His performances in this series are no longer that consistent compared to the first round, and there is a huge difference between home games and away games. I believe Brunson will follow this pattern this game. 


3. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
Last game the Pacers got out-rebounded so bad, with nearly a half fewer rebounds compared to the Knicks. I expect a way different outcome this game, with the Pacers grabbing closer to 45 rebounds. And in those 45 or those rebounds, I expect Nesmith to grab 6 or more of them. O5.5R with odd 2.48 at Unibet is also a very good odd. 
4. Myles Turner O6.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Just like 3, last game Turner allow Hartenstein to have like 10 offensive rebounds, which is unacceptable to win. I believe this game Turner will box out better, if not it's likely we will not see his team again this playoffs.


5. Precious Achiuwa O4.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
Achiuwa's play time and performance have been quite consistent, he saw around 24 minutes of playing time each game, scoring anywhere between 4-8. I believe there is some value with the 4.5 points line, as it only takes 2FGM and 1FT to pass that mark. 
6. Alex Burks 10+P  Odd 1.64 Bet365
Knicks rotation has expanded to 7 man rotation, with Achiuwa and Burks seeing around 20 minutes or more of playing time each game. Burks can score very well, averaging 17 points in around 22 minutes in the last 3 games. As the line favored the Pacers heavily, indicating there could be a chance of a blowout game, and Donte has not at his best shooting form recently, I expect Burks to play 20+ minutes this game. 

7. Isiah Hartenstein O8.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365
Hartenstein grab 17 rebounds last game, including many offensive rebounds. I believe the Pacers will not allow him that many rebounds this game, as evident in the last 2 games at Pacers. But 8.5P is still quite a low line, considering his performance last game, I expect him to play closer to 35 minutes

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