Skip to main content

NBA Players Props Analysis 17/06/2024

  S eason record: 382-312 Last picks record: 6-5 Recap of last picks (14/06/2024): Celtics @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet ❌ 2.  Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌ 3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅ 8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes ❌ 9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅ 10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 17/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka. 2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.8
1 comment

NBA Players Props Analysis 24/05/2024

 Season record: 308-262

Last picks record: 8-3

Recap of last picks (23/05/2024):

Pacers @ Celtics
1. Luke Kornet O7.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
2. Jrue Holiday O24.5PRA Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes✅ 
3. Tyrese Haliburton U19.5P Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes✅ 
4. Jayson Tatum U30.5P Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes✅ 
5. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.75 Tab❌
6. Pascal Siakam O23.5PA Odd 1.8 Unibet✅ 
7. Al Horford U21.5PRA Odd 1.78 Unibet✅ 
8. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.83 Sportsbet❌
9. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.8 Tab✅ 
10. Ben Sheppard O3.5P Odd 1.8 Tab✅ 
11. Andrew Nembhard O12.5PR Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 

Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)

Mavericks @ Timberwolves
1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
Recently Dereck Lively has overtaken Gafford in terms of minutes, but I think this is the perfect time to bet over on Gafford. The Mavs need Gafford to defend against the Wolves talented bigs. Gafford and Lively's skillsets are quite similar, both on offense and defense, Lively is better on defense but Gafford is more than just catching lobs on offense, he can outmuscle Gobert and grab some offensive rebounds and put back dunks.
2. Derrick Jones Jr O11.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365
Jones Jr play 35 minutes last game, ended with 8/4, just enough for this line. I believe this line is still low for someone playing 35 minutes, and Jones Jr's scoring capability is evident in the second round against the OKC. He is also quite underrated in grabbing offensive rebounding, with his top-in-the-league leaping ability. 
3. Tim Hardaway Jr O4.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365
This is definitely an interesting line, with his points line at 3.5, and his PR line at 4.5. He has got at least 1 rebound in all of the games so far this playoffs, and went over 5/9 so far, with some games way over. The only concern here is minutes, as he only got 10 minutes last game. 


4. Mike Conley O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365
Conley points line is at 10.5 and the rebounds line is at 3.5, so the 13.5PR line is quite low. He only played 31 minutes last game, and ended with 6/3. I expect him to play around 35-37 minutes this game, as Wolves would not want to drop 2 games at home. 

5. Jaden McDaniels O1.5SB Odd 1.62 Bet365
McDaniels has shown how great of a 3&D player he is and will become in the last few games. The Timberwolves will need his defense even more this game, considering Ant got fatigued guarding Kyrie. I expect McDaniels to guard Kyrie this game, just like how he guarded Murray last round. He has gone over this line last 8/12 games, with all games has at least 1. 
6. Kyle Anderson O3.5P Odd 1.64 Bet365
Anderson played 17 minutes last game, and ended with 11/2/2 and 0 +/-, the best in the Timberwolves bench. He actually guarded Luka very well in the first half, and when he was on the bench in the second half, Luka had a scoring streak. I expect him to play nearly 20 minutes this game. 
7. Kyle Anderson O8.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365
Same reason as 6. Anderson is quite reliable in getting all the stats. He does not just score but also gets rebounds, and assists consistently in his limited minutes.

8. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.73 Unibet
Edwards will bounce back, especially in important games like this. With his ability and mentality, I will not be surprised if Edwards get around 33-35 points this game.
9. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.64 Bet365
Double double is a safer bet than points or rebounds alone. Gobert has the highest +/- last game for the Wolves. The Wolves need Gobert to stay on the floor to defend lob-threat from the Mavs, the second most used/ dangerous part of the Mavs game plan behind Luka and Kyrie's iso game.
10. Luka Donicic U29.5P Odd 1.87 Tab
The Wolves have enough defenders, both in quantities and quality to slow down Luka. Another thing I noticed from game 1 is Luka's knee has not healed 100% yet. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NBA Players Props Analysis 06/06/2024

  S eason record: 354-285 Last picks record: 9-3 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 2. Daniel Gafford O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅ 3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365 ❌ 5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365 ✅ 7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 8. Karl Anthony Towns O19.5P Odd 1.76 Unibet✅ 9. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet✅ 11. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 12. Anthony Edwards O6.5A Odd 1.86 Sportsbet❌ 06/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 There are a few reasons I like this line. First, his performance against Dallas has been very well in the regular season. Mavs show no signs of ability to contain the 2 Js of Celtics, especially Tatum. He had 37 and 32 points in those 2 games, with only 20 FGA. Compared to his recent
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 28/05/2024

      S eason record: 338-278 Last picks record: 9-2 Recap of last picks (27/05/2024): We come back with a 9W2L super positive day. All are good picks except for Pritchard (super close game so Pritchard only sees 9 minutes but he has 5 points), and unlucky with Nesmith who shot 1/6 from 3. Celtics @  Pacers 1. Derrick White 15+P Odd 1.76 Bet365 ✅ 2. Obi Toppin O14.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 3. Aaron Neismith O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 4. Aaron Nesmith O1.5 3M Odd 2.05 Bet365❌ 5. Myles Turner 2+ 3M Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅ 6. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅ 7. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 8. Andrew Nembhard O25.5PRA Odd 1.7 Unibet✅ 9. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.77 Odd 1.77 Unibet✅ 10. Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3M Odd 1.69 Pointsbet✅ 11. Payton Pritchard O6.5P Odd 1.93 Unibet❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 I expect another 17-20 minute game from Anderson. He has been playing well this whole series, and there is n
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 30/05/2024

  S eason record: 345-282 Last picks record: 7-4 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Another positive day with 7W and 4L, with almost all being good picks. Washington underperformed but he played 42 minutes, unlucky with Anderson and McDaniels. Every game so far has been very close, and I expect it will continue like that for the remainder of this series. Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅ 3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes ✅ 5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes ❌ 6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet ❌ 7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab ✅ 8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet ✅ 9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365 ❌ 11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365 ✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Will Lively come back this game? His i
Post a Comment
Read more