S eason record: 382-312 Last picks record: 6-5 Recap of last picks (14/06/2024): Celtics @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet ❌ 2. Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌ 3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅ 8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes ❌ 9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅ 10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 17/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka. 2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.8
Season record: 314-266
Last picks record: 6-4
Recap of last picks (24/05/2024):
Another positive day, marking 7 positive days in a row. Some great picks include Kyle Anderson, Jaden McDaniels, Gafford and Conley, bad picks are Anthony Edwards and Tim Hardaway Jr. Lucky with Gobert Double double as Gobert grab his 10th rebound late in the 4th, unlucky with Donicic, with a game-winner to go over 29.
Mavericks @ Timberwolves
1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅
2. Derrick Jones Jr O11.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
3. Tim Hardaway Jr O4.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
4. Mike Conley O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
5. Jaden McDaniels O1.5SB Odd 1.62 Bet365✅
6. Kyle Anderson O3.5P Odd 1.64 Bet365✅
7. Kyle Anderson O8.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
8. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.73 Unibet❌
9. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.64 Bet365✅
10. Luka Donicic U29.5P Odd 1.87 Tab❌
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Celtics @ Pacers
1. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes
With Haliburton is injured, I expect Nembhard to step up this game. Last game he had 2 rebounds in 26 minutes, I expect the Pacers will play their hardest this game, with or without Halibuton so I expect Nembhard to play closer to 35 minutes this game.
2. Andrew Nembhard O11.5P Odd 1.65 Unibet
This is an alternative line, with his normal line at 12.5. The reason I choose line 11.5 is because Nembhard does not shoot many free throws, as he does not drive in the paint frequently. In 7/15 games so far this playoffs he does not have 1 single free throw attempt, resulting in 2 games he ended with exactly 12 points. I would rather bet on line 11.5 or 13.5 for higher odds than 12.5.
3. Jayson Tatum 10+R Odd 1.78 Sportsbet
Tatum has gone over this line 9/12 games so far this playoffs. With Kornet is out, I expect the Celtics to play a small ball lineup for some minutes just like last game, as Horford will need some rest.
4. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Jrue Holiday is questionable for today, but if he does not play, it would mean more minutes for Pritchard. Pritchard has scored 8 or more points in the last 4/4 games. I expect a similar output today from Pritchard.
5. Derrick White O9.5RA Odd 1.95 Ladbrokes
White has gone over this line in the last 4 games, and in the case of Holiday not play, or playing fewer minutes, then it only favors White more. White plays on both sides of the floor, and his RA number has always been consistent. I expect White to play 35+ minutes this game.
6. Jaylen Brown O2.5A Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes
Brown scored 40 points last game, so I expect the Pacers to defend him better this game. He has only covered this line 5/12 games, but when he scores under 29 points he has covered this line 5/7 games this playoffs. I favor Brown scoring under 29 points in this game, so I expect him to get more assists.
7. Pascal Siakam O3.5A Odd 1.87 Tab
Another underrated passer is Siakam. Pacers has to fight their hardest in this game, to have any chances in this series. Just like Brown, if we just look at his playoffs performances we would very doubt this line, but if we zoom in and only look at games where he plays 37 minutes or more, which I believe he will this game, he has covered this line 6/7 games in such condition.
8. Al Horford O9.5P Odd 1.8 Tab
Horford will likely play matching minutes with Turner. Last game both of them played just around 25 minutes mark, mainly because Turner was in foul trouble early. I believe they will likely play closer to around 32 minutes this game, as the Celtics will have to play small ball when Horford is on the bench (Kornet, KP is still out).
9. Sam Hauser O7.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Hauser saw 2 minutes last game, most among the Celtics bench. Pacers is a high-volume shooting team, so a 3-point specialist like Hauser is always appreciated in this type of series. I will not likely play 20+ minutes again this game, as last game mainly because of an early blowout + The Pacers play their bench most of the 3rd and 4th quarter, but I still expect him to play around 15 minutes this game.
10. Myles Turner O15.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Turner was in foul trouble last game, which cost him his minutes on the floor. Plus it is a near must-win game, I expect him to play around 35 minutes this game.
11. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 2.02 Unibet
Nesmith is a good rebounder for his size, averaging around 5R/game this playoffs. He average 6.67 minutes per rebound, and with a crucial game as such, I expect him to play closer to 40 minutes.
Comments
Post a Comment