Skip to main content

NBA Players Props Analysis 17/06/2024

  S eason record: 382-312 Last picks record: 6-5 Recap of last picks (14/06/2024): Celtics @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet ❌ 2.  Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌ 3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅ 8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes ❌ 9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅ 10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 17/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka. 2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.8
1 comment

NBA Players Props Analysis 09/06/2024

  Season record: 361-294

Last picks record: 7-9

Recap of last picks (06/06/2024):

Negative days, but most wrong picks are just unlucky (Brown, Irving, Jones Jr, Kleber). Good picks are Mavs' guards with higher rebounds, centers with lower rebounds, Al Horford, and Washington over points. Bad picks are Pritchard, White and Tatum. I will keep most of my analysis from game 1 to game 2, but I also believe Mavs will return to their usual offensive style. 
Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌
2. Luka Donicic O17.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
3. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.72 Sportsbet✅
4. Al Horford O11.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
5. Jrue Holiday O4.5A Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.83 Sportsbet✅
7. Kyrie Irving O3.5R Odd 1.8 Tab❌
8. Derrick White O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes❌
9. Jaylen Brown O22.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes❌
10. Derrick Jones Jr O11.5PR Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes❌
11. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.96 Unibet✅
12. Maxi Kleber O2.5P Odd 2.0 Tab❌
13. Maxi Kleber O4.5PRA Odd 1.87 Tab❌
14. Payton Pritchard O8.5PRA Odd 1.76 Bet365❌
15. Derrick Lively U7.5R Odd 1.74 Sportsbet✅
16. Daniel Gafford U15.5PRA Odd 1.76 Bet365✅

09/06's NBA Props (To be updated)

Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Jayson Tatum O41.5PRA Odd 1.87 Tab 
Tatum has all the reasons to try his best in the upcoming games. Like the analysis in game 1, I don't think Tatum will score low in this series, especially when many public narratives think Brown is the alpha player of the team. Betting on points might also be a good option, but I believe more of a all rounder games from Tatum. If he just go ahead and be selfish, chucking up 30 shots then he just prove how immature player of his calibre, which I don't think he is. I believe he will play an excellent all around game.
2. Jaylen Brown O22.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365
No one on the Mavs seem to be able to stop Brown. Just like the analysis from game 1, I cannot see how Mavs can contain Brown. 
3. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
With Celtics have amazing guard defense, I expect Washington to step up and score around 15 this game just like game 1.
4. Daniel Gafford O12.5PR Odd 1.9 Bet365
This is the opposite from game 1.  This line is 2 points lower than usual. Even though it seems understandable as shown in game 1 even when Lively in foul trouble, Gafford still see limited minutes. But I think this game will be different, as Mavs need pick and roll in this series. Also, sometimes Celtics play big with both Horford and Porzingis on the floor, which requires 1 more bigs from the Mavs. I believe Mavs will return to their usual offensive gameplan with a lot of pick and roll, and Gafford to see around 20 minutes. 
5. Derrick Jones Jr O10.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365
Jones Jr has not been scoring well recently, but he still take around 8FGA a game. And for rebounding number, I believe Jones has more chances this series, as the Mavs centers will guard Horford and Porzingis at the 3pts line.

6. Kristaps Porzingis O23.5PRA Odd 1.89 Sportsbet
Updated: The line has moved down to 22.5 at odd 1.8. Will take it.
Porzingis only play 20 minutes last game and in those 20 minutes he look unstoppable. I expect his minutes to increase to around 28 minutes this game.
7. Dereck Lively O6.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Same reason as 4. Mavs need to get back to their usual offense, running pick and rolls with their 2 talented guards and athletic bigs.
8. PJ Washington 6-8R Odd 2.4 Ladbrokes
6-8 is a quite safe range of rebounds for Washington. The line for O5.5R is at around 1.7, is quite low compared to this. Washington has always been consistent with his rebounds.
9. Kyrie Irving O3.5R Odd 1.8 Tab
Last game he stopped at 3. Considering last game is a blowout game and this game he should play 6 more minutes compared to last game, I don't see any reasons to not bet over.
10. Al Horford U9.5P Odd 1.8 Tab
Horford score 10 points last game in 30 minutes. With Porzingis is back, I expect Horford to have a bit less minutes. 
11. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes
Every time I see line of 10.5RA for Holiday, I always take it. Holiday is a very consistent player, and has not gone under in this line in the past 5 games.

12. Jaden Hardy O3.5P Odd 1.7 Ladbrokes
Hardy has played incredibly well in his limited minutes on the floor, helping the Mavs offense tremendously when Luka is off the floor. I expect him to play around 10+ minutes this game, and score another 5+ points.


13. Sam Hauser O3.5P Odd 2.05 Ladbrokes
Hauser played the most minutes out of the Celtics bench other than KP. I expect another 15+ minutes game from him.
14. Payton Pritchard O3.5P Odd 1.96 Ladbrokes
Pritchard's minutes have been reduced, but this line is still low for someone like him. He scored 0 points last game but takes 7FG. It only takes 2FGM to cover this line.
15. Luka Donicic U32.5P Odd 1.85 Tab
I expect Donicic to playmake more today. Also, the Celtics has the most talented defensive guards in the league so 33+ points in a finals game is never an easy task for anyone.
16. Derrick White O3.5R Odd 1.8 Tab
Celtics' rebounding numbers have been distributed quite equally other than Tatum. Apart from only grabbing 2 rebounds last game, he has gone over 6/6 games before that. I expect him to grab 4-5 rebounds this game.
17. Kyrie Irving U23.5P Odd 1.8 Tab
Kyrie's performance against the Celtics has not been good for over 2 years, especially in Boston. Also, Celtics guards are the best in the league, and I expect another game where Luka and Irving will struggle on scoring, and the Mavs role players will step up.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NBA Players Props Analysis 06/06/2024

  S eason record: 354-285 Last picks record: 9-3 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 2. Daniel Gafford O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅ 3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365 ❌ 5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365 ✅ 7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 8. Karl Anthony Towns O19.5P Odd 1.76 Unibet✅ 9. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet✅ 11. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 12. Anthony Edwards O6.5A Odd 1.86 Sportsbet❌ 06/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 There are a few reasons I like this line. First, his performance against Dallas has been very well in the regular season. Mavs show no signs of ability to contain the 2 Js of Celtics, especially Tatum. He had 37 and 32 points in those 2 games, with only 20 FGA. Compared to his recent
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 28/05/2024

      S eason record: 338-278 Last picks record: 9-2 Recap of last picks (27/05/2024): We come back with a 9W2L super positive day. All are good picks except for Pritchard (super close game so Pritchard only sees 9 minutes but he has 5 points), and unlucky with Nesmith who shot 1/6 from 3. Celtics @  Pacers 1. Derrick White 15+P Odd 1.76 Bet365 ✅ 2. Obi Toppin O14.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 3. Aaron Neismith O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 4. Aaron Nesmith O1.5 3M Odd 2.05 Bet365❌ 5. Myles Turner 2+ 3M Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅ 6. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅ 7. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 8. Andrew Nembhard O25.5PRA Odd 1.7 Unibet✅ 9. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.77 Odd 1.77 Unibet✅ 10. Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3M Odd 1.69 Pointsbet✅ 11. Payton Pritchard O6.5P Odd 1.93 Unibet❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 I expect another 17-20 minute game from Anderson. He has been playing well this whole series, and there is n
Post a Comment
Read more

NBA Players Props Analysis 30/05/2024

  S eason record: 345-282 Last picks record: 7-4 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Another positive day with 7W and 4L, with almost all being good picks. Washington underperformed but he played 42 minutes, unlucky with Anderson and McDaniels. Every game so far has been very close, and I expect it will continue like that for the remainder of this series. Timberwolves  @  Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅ 3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes ✅ 5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes ❌ 6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet ❌ 7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab ✅ 8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet ✅ 9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365 ✅ 10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365 ❌ 11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365 ✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @  Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Will Lively come back this game? His i
Post a Comment
Read more