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NBA Players Prop Analysis 22/10/2024

Season Record: 0-0 Last Pick record: 10-2  (17/06/2024) 22/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated) 1. Jalen Brunson U28.5P Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes Demanding 29 points in the first game of the season is not an easy task for any players, including Brunson. Celtics is also a good defensive team, and only allowed Brunson to score 15 points in the first game last season. 2. Jrue Holiday U13.5P  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.85 Tab Celtics has great firepower, and Holiday won't need to take many shots at all. Jrue averaged 12.5 points last season. And with this being the first game, and Jrue is a 34-year-old guard who plays on both ends of the floor, and also considering Celtics has a good bench, I don't expect Jrue to play more than 30 minutes this game. 3. Karl Anthony Towns U11.5R  Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.83 PointsBet KAT has not averaged 11 or more rebounds for the past 5 seasons. Also considering Celtics's starting Center is Al Horford, who tends to stay outside the peri

Finals/Season Recap

 Season record: 392-314

Last picks record: 10-2

Recap of last picks (17/06/2024):

Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 2.05 Bet365
4. Jayson Tatum O32.5PA Odd 1.84 Unibet
5. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.74 Sportsbet
7. Kyrie Irving U24.5P Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
8. Derek Lively U8.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
9. Derrick White O8.5RA Odd 2.07 Unibet
10. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.8 Bet365
11. Luka Donicic O1.5SB Odd 1.6 Unibet
12. Luka Donicic U9.5 1stQP Odd 2.05 Sportsbet



So the NBA Finals wraps up my first year as an amateur sports bettor. Here are the stats: 
Bet period: 19/03/2024 - 17/06/2024
Total bet: 706
Record: 392-314 (Hit rate: 55.5%)
Average odd: 1.88
ROI: 4.4%  ~ 32 units won.

While my first year’s performance has been solid, there's still plenty of room for improvement. This year, my goal is to achieve a 57% hit rate across 2600 bets (with the NBA regular season and playoffs totaling roughly 1300 games, that’s an average of 2 bets per game). If I can maintain that hit rate, I’m projecting an ROI of about 7.2% and an expected profit of around 200 units.

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