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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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Finals/Season Recap

 Season record: 392-314

Last picks record: 10-2

Recap of last picks (17/06/2024):

Mavericks @ Celtics
1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅
2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes✅
3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 2.05 Bet365❌
4. Jayson Tatum O32.5PA Odd 1.84 Unibet✅
5. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.74 Sportsbet✅
7. Kyrie Irving U24.5P Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes✅
8. Derek Lively U8.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
9. Derrick White O8.5RA Odd 2.07 Unibet✅
10. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
11. Luka Donicic O1.5SB Odd 1.6 Unibet✅
12. Luka Donicic U9.5 1stQP Odd 2.05 Sportsbet✅



So the NBA Finals wraps up my first year as an amateur sports bettor. Here are the stats: 
Bet period: 19/03/2024 - 17/06/2024
Total bet: 706
Record: 392-314 (Hit rate: 55.5%)
Average odd: 1.88
ROI: 4.4%  ~ 32 units won.

While my first year’s performance has been solid, there's still plenty of room for improvement. This year, my goal is to achieve a 57% hit rate across 2600 bets (with the NBA regular season and playoffs totaling roughly 1300 games, that’s an average of 2 bets per game). If I can maintain that hit rate, I’m projecting an ROI of about 7.2% and an expected profit of around 200 units.

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