S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Season record: 4-1
Last picks record: 4-1
Recap of last picks (22/10/2024):
1. Jalen Brunson U28.5P Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅
2. Jrue Holiday U13.5P Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.85 Tab❌
3. Karl Anthony Towns U11.5R Knicks @ Celtics Odd 1.83 PointsBet ✅
4. Julius Randle O7.5R Timberwolves @ Lakers Odd 2.08 Sportsbet ✅
5. Lebron James U24.5P Timberwolves @ Lakers Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes ✅
23/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated)
Pacers @ Pistons
1. Pascal Siakam O21.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Pistons has always been Siakam prefered matchup. Match up with him will be an average defender in Tobias Harris. I expect a 25 point game from Siakam.
2. Myles Turner O7.5R Odd 2.16 Unibet
Duren spends most of the time inside the paint, and play very physical. With the lack of size in the Pacers' bigs, I expect Turner should play 32+ minutes this game. Only 1 thing to worry is Turner might be in foul trouble.
Bucks @ 76ers
1. Giannis Antetokoumpo O28.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet
With Embiid out, Paul george out, I expect Giannis to dominate this game.
2. Damian Lilliard U7.5A Odd 1.8 Tab
This may sound like a contradiction, as Damian Lilliard's assists should correlate with Giannis's points. But that was not what I saw last season. I have seen many times both of them have great games (30+), and some times they both played poorly. Dame only generate over 7.5A once in the first 10 games of the last season, and with the risk of this game being a blow out, I expect Dame to have around 5-7 assists this game.
Nets @ Hawks
1. Jalen Johnson O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Johnson is an underrated rebounder. With the departure of Dejounte Murray, Johnson will have even more rebounding chances than past season.
Cavaliers @ Raptors
1. Scottie Barnes O7.5R Odd 2.00 Tab
Cavs lineup is big with Mobley and Allen in the paint, and with the missing of Kelly Olynik and RJ Barrett, I expect Barnes to play around 35+ minutes this game.
2. Donovan Mitchell O25.5P Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
Donovan Mitchell always perform well with the Cavs in the first 10 or so games of the season, averaging 32pts in 2022 and 29pts in 2023 season.
Magic @ Heat
1. Bam Adebayo O16.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
1 thing about Adebayo is consistence. 16.5P prop is very low for him compared to the previous season, which most of the time at 18.5 or 19.5+. Banchero is not a great defensive player yet, and I expect Bam to score a 20 points game.
2. Paolo Banchero U22.5P Odd 1.95 Tab
22.5 is quite a high prop for Banchero. He has only gone over this once (23) in 7 meetings with the Heat.
Bulls @ Pelicans
1. Nikola Vucevic O10.5R Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes
Pelicans is severely undersized. I check the starting lineup prediction and they suggest Hebert Jones at C. Vucevic should dominate in the paint and I expect him to grab 13+ rebounds this game. Let's hope he will play 30+ minutes this game.
2. Zion Williamson O6.5R Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes
Zion is the biggest player on the court for the Pelicans and he should rebound well this game.
3. Dejounte Murray U21.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet
According to the props, 4 of the Pelicans starters will score give or take 20pts this game. I'm not expecting that much fire power this early in the season. Especially considering Dejounte Murray just join this season, I don't expect him to score as much as the others.
Hornets @ Rockets
1. Nick Richards O7.5R Odd 2.05 Bet365
Hornets does not have a big line up. As a starter, Richards average 9 boards per game. I expect him to grab 8-10 rebounds this game.
2. Fred Vanvleet U17.5P Odd 1.90 Tab
At the end of the last season, I saw trend of Vanvleet being more of a playmaker than a scorer. Jalen Green and Sengun can take care with the scoring for the Rockets, they need the playmaking from the veteran PG.
Grizzlies @ Jazz
1. Santi Aldama O8.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365
Aldama is an underrated player in the league. With JJJ out, he will be the starting PF. Jazz's frontcourt is quite big, and Aldama should see a tons of minutes this game. I expect him to play 28+ minutes this game.
2. Jordan Clarkson O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes
Clarkson should play around 30 minutes this game. In 10 games vs the Grizzlies, he average 4.6R, over 9/10 games. I expect a similar trend this game.
3. Zach Edey O18.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365
The Grizzlies does not have great rebounder other than Edey. I expect a double double from him today.
Warriors @ Blazers
1. Scoot Henderson O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
Scoot shows huge improvement towards the end of last season, averaging 19pts in the last 10 games. He also average over 13 points vs the Warriors. I believe 11.5 is a low prop.
Suns @ Clippers
1. Tyus Jones O17.5PRA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Jones PRA is the lowest amongst the Suns starters, which I find value there. He is a great passer, play very unselfish, and definitely would see a lot of playing time in the first game with the new team. I expect him to play around 28 minutes today.
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