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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...

NBA Players Prop Analysis 24/10/2024

Season record: 15-8

Units profit: +5.3U, Average Odd: 1.89

Last picks record: 11-7

Recap of last picks (23/10/2024):

Pacers @ Pistons
1. Pascal Siakam O21.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 

2. Myles Turner O7.5R Odd 2.16 Unibet 

Bucks @ 76ers
1. Giannis Antetokoumpo O28.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet 

2. Damian Lilliard U7.5A Odd 1.8 Tab 

Nets @ Hawks
1. Jalen Johnson O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes 
.

Cavaliers @ Raptors
1. Scottie Barnes O7.5R Odd 2.00 Tab 

2. Donovan Mitchell O25.5P Odd 1.88 Sportsbet 


Magic @ Heat
1. Bam Adebayo O16.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet 

2. Paolo Banchero U22.5P Odd 1.95 Tab 


Bulls @ Pelicans
1. Nikola Vucevic O10.5R Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes 

2. Zion Williamson O6.5R Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes VOID

3. Dejounte Murray U21.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet 


Hornets @ Rockets
1. Nick Richards O7.5R Odd 2.05 Bet365 

2. Fred Vanvleet U17.5P Odd 1.90 Tab 


Grizzlies @ Jazz
1. Santi Aldama O8.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365 
2. Jordan Clarkson O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes 
3. Zach Edey O18.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365 


Warriors @ Blazers
1. Scoot Henderson O11.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365 


Suns @ Clippers
1. Tyus Jones O17.5PRA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet 


24/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated)

Celtics @ Wizards
1. Jonas Valanciunas U10.5P Odd 1.80 Bet365
Valanciunas is played a lot when on the Pelicans, and I expect a similar fashion in Washington. Wizards is a young team focusing on rebuild, and Valanciunas is not neccessary a part of that plan. I expect Valanciunas to play a low 20 minutes game.
2. Jonas Valanciunas U7.5R Odd 1.87 Pointsbet
Same reason as 1.
3. Bilal Coulibaly O12.5PR Odd 1.83 Sportsbet
Coulibaly should see around 25-30 minutes this game, depends on how quick the Celtics can blowout the Wizards. Coulibaly is a 6'8 SG, so naturally he has a lot of advantage over players 1-3.
4. Kyle Kuzma O3.5A Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
Kuzma improved his playmaking ability greatly last season. And with the departure of Tyus Jones, Kuzma will even have more chances to facilitate the ball.

Spurs @ Mavericks
1. Chris Paul O10.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
CP3 is an underrated scorer, his midranges still fall at an elite level these recent years. Playing with Wemby will allow him even more chances to score, and Mavs are not elite at defending undersized guards. I expect Chris Paul to score most of his points in the third and fourth quarter, ending the game with 12-13 points.

2. Derrick Lively O7.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365
Lively is the future of the Mavs. While he has to share the court with Gafford and most likely will not play more than 25 minutes, he is a safer bet than Gafford. The main reason is that especially if there is a blowout, Lively will be on the court, not Gafford, so he will see on average around 3-5 minutes more than Gafford, regardless of situation.

Timberwolves @ Kings
1. Mike Conley O2.5R Odd 2.50 Bet365
2.5 odd is a great value for this prop. Only concern is Conley's play time since the Wolves has a lot of quality guards on the bench. He should still see around 23-25 minutes this game.


Thunder @ Nuggets
1. Aaron Gordon O13.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Gordon average over 17 points vs OKC in the last 5 games. I expect a similar trend today against the undersized OKC.
2. Lu Dort O3.5R Odd 1.95 Tab
Lu Dort should play around 30 minutes this game. With the departure of Josh Giddey, Dort will have more rebounding chances. 

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