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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Prop Analysis 29/10/2024

  Season record: 21-21

Units profit: -2.5U, Average Odd: 1.88

Last picks record: 3-7

2 consecutive bad days, so I decided to take a few days break to gather more data. 

Recap of last picks (25/10/2024):


Nets @ Magic
1. Dennis Schroder U15.5P Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes ❌
2. Paolo Banchero U33.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365✅

76ers @ Raptors

1. Kelly Oubre Jr U20.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌
2. Caleb Martin O12.5P Odd 1.90 bet365 ❌

Hornets @ Hawks
1. Dyson Daniels U10.5P Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ❌

Pistons @ Cavaliers
1. Jalen Duren O10.5R Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ❌

Pacers @ Knicks
1. Pascal Siakam O19.5P Odd 1.95 Tab ❌

Rockets @ Grizzlies
1. Santi Aldama O9.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌
2. Zach Edey O8.5P Odd 1.75 Tab ✅

Bulls @ Bucks
1. Coby White O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes ✅

29/10/2024's NBA Props (To be updated)

Nuggets @ Nets


1. Nikola Jokic U28.5P Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes

Nuggets just barely won over the Raptors in OT, in this game Jokic scored 40 points. Back-to-back game, last game was an OT game, in which Jokic played 44 minutes, I very much doubt he will play more than 35 minutes this game.
2. Michale Porter Jr O14.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet

MPJ has scored poorly from the start of this season, struggling to find his rhythm. Against a weaker Nets team, MPJ will have more chances to score. Also, Nets allow the second most points in the league to opponents' SFs so far, at over 30PPG.

3. Cam Thomas U27.5P Odd 1.81 Unibet

Denver is a good team defensively against SGs, only allow under 21PPG for SGs. Cam is a great scorer, but his scoring streak is also very inconsistent. I would not be surprised if he cannot score over 23 points in this game.



Mavericks @ Timberwolves

1. Julius Randle O20.5P Odd 1.78 Unibet

Randle started to find his rhythm in the Timberwolves, playing 36 minutes last game and scoring 24 points. I believe he will continue this performance this game, against the Mavs who averaged nearly 29 PPG in the last 6 matchups. 

2. Anthony Edwards O11.5RA Odd 1.87 Pointsbet

This is a riskier bet, but I will take it for these reasons. Even though he has not had more than 4 assists so far this season, his potential assist stats is 9, which means his assists should be around 5+. For context, Stephen Curry has 6.3 APG for his same 9 potential assists per game. His teammates simply did not hit shots. His rebounding number has been consistent at 6+ this season, and finally, he is averaging over 13RA against the Mavs in the last 10 games.

3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 2.02 Sportsbet

With the addition of Klay Thompson, Washington has less role in scoring and more on defending and rebounding. Against the bigger Wolves team, Washington will be utilized more in both of those roles. His rebounding numbers so far this season are 5, 6, and 11, with the only game he had 5 rebounds was when he only played 26 minutes due to a blowout game.

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