S eason record: 382-312 Last picks record: 6-5 Recap of last picks (14/06/2024): Celtics @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet ❌ 2. Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet ❌ 3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes ✅ 4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 ❌ 5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet ✅ 8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes ❌ 9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet✅ 10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 17/06's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Celtics 1. Luka Donicic O16.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet This line is very low for Luka's standard. Luka has to try his best from the very start of the game just like what he showed last game. He has nothing to lose and he will play smart and careful on defense to avoid foul trouble. I expect a near triple-double this game from Luka. 2. Al Horford O17.5PRA Odd 1.8
Season record: 329-276
Last picks record: 6-8
Recap of last picks (26/05/2024):
The positive days streak ends tonight at 8 days in a row. Good predictions are the steps up of role players on both teams (Washington, Jones Jr and McDaniels). Bad predictions are Gobert, Luka and Conley. Vey unlucky with Edwards and I feel like Gafford, Anderson underperformed their lines according to their minutes today.
Timberwolves @ Mavericks
1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes❌
2. Kyle Anderson O9.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes✅
3. Kyle Anderson O2.5R Odd 2.1 Ladbrokes❌
4. Anthony Edwards O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes✅
5. Mike Conley O5.5A Odd 1.98 Unibet❌
6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.84 Unibet✅
7. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.9 Sportsbet❌
8. Mike Conley O2.5R Odd 1.58 Sportsbet❌
9. Derrick Jones Jr O8.5P Odd 1.91 Sportsbet✅
10. PJ Washin gton O11.5P Odd 1.84 Unibet✅
11. Luka Donicic U30.5P Odd 1.9 Tab❌
12. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Unibet❌
13. Jaden McDaniels 10+P Odd 1.68 Tab✅
14. Luka Donic O17.5RA Odd 1.77 Unibet❌
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Celtics @ Pacers
1. Derrick White 15+P Odd 1.76 Bet365
Derrick White tends to play well in close-out games, scoring 18 points in game 5 of the second round, and 25 points in game 5 of the first round.
2. Obi Toppin O14.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
I have mentioned since the beginning of this series, that Pacers bench is much deeper than the Celtics, Celtics just has a too good of a starter lineup. Toppin saw 22 or more minutes in all 3 games so far this playoffs and in those minutes he play quite well, with +7 +/- in game 3, the highest of the team by far for those playing 20+ minutes. I expect him to play around 23 minutes this game and has a statline around 11/5/2.
3. Aaron Neismith O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Neismith can play well but as he will have to guard Celtics' best player most of the time, he was in foul trouble in most of the games so far this playoffs. With the importance of this game, I expect Neismith to not get himself in foul trouble too early.
I expect the Pacers to come out shooting a lot today, as they are down 3-0 and shooting is the only option. Their team is known for their shooting, and Neismith is 3rd in the team in 3PA this playoffs, behind only Haliburton (highly will not play), and Turner.
5. Myles Turner 2+ 3M Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes
Same reason as 4.
6. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Celtics only grabbed 36 and 40 rebounds in the last 2 games, which is a bit lower than what I expected. I expect Celtics to grab around 43 rebounds this game, as if my prediction is correct, meaning the Pacers will shoot more this game, then there is even more opportunity for Celtics players to grab rebounds, and with Tatum normally playing the most minutes of the team, I can see Tatum grab up to 12 rebounds this game.
7. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
Nesmith has been a consistent rebounder throughout this series, and as I expect this game to be a high-volume shooting game, I expect Nesmith to have more rebounding chances than usual.
8. Andrew Nembhard O25.5PRA Odd 1.7 Unibet
With Haliburton likely out, Nembhard has more touches and shots than usual. He had 32/4/9 last game and I expect another 20+P game from him this game.
9. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.77 Odd 1.77 Unibet
With Holiday's RA line only 1 higher than that of Brown and White, I think this line has value. He tends to play close to 40 minutes each game, and while his scoring number has gone u, I believe his main role still remains in defense, rebound, and assists, where he is one of the best in the league at his position.
10. Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3M Odd 1.69 Pointsbet
Same logic with 4 and 5, I expect the Pacers to shoot at least 30 3PA this game. 3P is their bread and butter in the regular season and in the first round, where they average nearly 40 3PA against the Bucks.
11. Payton Pritchard O6.5P Odd 1.93 Unibet
This is the lowest line for Pritchard in a while. He played a lowest playoffs minutes last game, only 14 minutes. As Celtics has a comfortable lead in this serie, I expect Pritchard to see more playing time (around 20 minutes).
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