S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
Season record: 338-278
Last picks record: 9-2
Recap of last picks (27/05/2024):
We come back with a 9W2L super positive day. All are good picks except for Pritchard (super close game so Pritchard only sees 9 minutes but he has 5 points), and unlucky with Nesmith who shot 1/6 from 3.
Celtics @ Pacers
1. Derrick White 15+P Odd 1.76 Bet365✅
2. Obi Toppin O14.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
3. Aaron Neismith O10.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
4. Aaron Nesmith O1.5 3M Odd 2.05 Bet365❌
5. Myles Turner 2+ 3M Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes✅
6. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅
7. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅
8. Andrew Nembhard O25.5PRA Odd 1.7 Unibet✅
9. Jrue Holiday O10.5RA Odd 1.77 Odd 1.77 Unibet✅
10. Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3M Odd 1.69 Pointsbet✅
11. Payton Pritchard O6.5P Odd 1.93 Unibet❌
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Timberwolves @ Mavericks
1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365
I expect another 17-20 minute game from Anderson. He has been playing well this whole series, and there is no reason not to play him more.
2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365
Edwards needs to step up this game. Big time. He was so close to hit over this line, but only scored 4 points in the whole 4th quarter.
3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365
The same can be said for Towns. Towns has shot so bad this series but he is still one of the best shooting big men in the game, and with the volume of shots he takes, I would not be surprised if he gets 25 today. I expect fewer minutes from Gobert too so expect KAT to get close to 10 rebounds this game.
4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes
I don't expect Gobert to play more than 25 minutes today. The Wolves should stretch the floor more with KAT and Naz Reid. With Lively out, the need for Gobert is even less.
5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes
With Lively out, I expect all other Mavs players to get more rebounds, considering Lively can get 8-10 rebounds every game, so those 8-10 rebounds will be distributed to the other players.
6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet
Same as 5, but Washington also takes the 3rd shot attempts for the Mavs, and in a game where the Wolves would try their best to lock down Luka and Kyrie, Washington will even see more shots.
7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab
Same as 5.
8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet
Same as 5. Gafford may need to guard stretch bigs so even more chances for Donicic today.
9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365
His point line is at 11.5, rebound line is at 7.5. I'm not sure why 19.5 is a suitable PRA, unless the book expects Gafford to get less than 1A? I don't think so, he will likely play 30 minutes today if not more.
10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365
This line is quite low for McDaniels. He has performed so well in elimination games, especially the last series against Denver. I expect him to score 12-15 points this game.
11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365
I believe Reid will play similar minutes to the last game, more than Gobert. As a 6'10 big, grabbing 4 rebounds should not be too hard of a task.
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