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NBA Players Prop Analysis 06/11/2024

   S eason record: 38-35 Units profit: -1.6U, Average Odd: 1.88 Last picks record: 1-2 Recap of last picks (03/11/2024): Hawks @ Pelicans 1. Jose Alvarado O12.5P Odd 1.88 Unibet ❌ Magic @ Mavericks 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet ✅ 2. Athony Black O6.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ❌ 06/11/2024 's NBA Props (To be updated) Magics @ Pacers 1. Goga Bidatze U10.5P Odd 1.87 Pointsbet Pacers is the top 3 defensive team against centers, only allow 17PPG. With this can be a blowout game early, I expect Bidatze to play under 27 minutes this game. Knicks @ Hawks 1. Zaccharie Risacher O10.5P Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Risacher is getting more and more confident in his games, playing 30 minutes in the last 2 games and shot 13 and 15 FGA. That's a lot of shots and even if he makes 40% that could be over 10.5P. The main problem is his accuracy. But even at his current 33%, he still manage to average 9.5PPG so I expect if he shot 13-14FGA then it is more than enough to cover this. Warriors @ Celtics 1. Jru...
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NBA Players Props Analysis 14/06/2024

  Season record: 376-307

Last picks record: 6-5

Recap of last picks (12/06/2024):

Celtics @ Mavericks
1. Al Horford O7.5P Odd 1.85 Sportsbet✅
2. Al Horford O5.5R Odd 1.6 Unibet❌
3. Jayson Tatum O41.5PRA Odd 1.9 Tab✅
4. Jayson Tatum O9.5R Odd 1.95 Tab❌
5. Jrue Holiday 10+ RA Odd 1.55 Tab❌
6. Derrick Lively O5.5R Odd 1.72 Unibet✅
7. Derrick Jones Jr O12.5PR Odd 2.02 Unibet❌
8. PJ Washington O20.5PR Odd 1.81 Unibet✅
9. Luka Donicic U33.5P Odd 1.76 Unibet✅
10. Derrick White O23.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
11. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 2.02 Unibet❌

14/06's NBA Props (To be updated)

Celtics @ Mavericks
1. Derrick Jones Jr O5.5P Odd 1.89 Unibet
Jones only played 16 minutes last night, with his minutes largely taken by Green and Hardaway Jr. With Hardaway's poor performance last game, I believe Jones Jr should see his minutes back to around 25 minutes this game. 

2. Derrick Jones Jr O2.5R Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
Similar reason to 1. He has gone over this line 15/20 games this playoffs. 
3. Daniel Gafford O6.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Gafford only has 6 points last game in 16 minutes. I believe Dallas will play him more in this game. It's unlikely Lively will play 30+ minutes like last game.
4. Kyrie Irving O32.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365
Irving slowly found his rhythm back in this series, scoring a game-high 35 points. I believe Irving will continue this high-scoring performance in this game.
5. Al Horford U16.5PR Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes
Horford plays 37 minutes last game. More minutes does not mean good for Horford, he still shot well last game, but ended up with 8/5. I expect Horford to play around 33 minutes this game, as Tillman showed good performance last game.
6. Dereck Lively II U8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Lively is more reliable with his rebounding numbers, as his offense is very limited. 
7. Luka Donicic U42.5PR Odd 1.85 Sportsbet
Scoring 33+ points is never easy in the playoffs, and same as 10 rebounds. Especially when Luka is not at his best, I believe he will put less effort into grabbing rebounds and letting his teammates, especially Kyrie and Washington grab the rebounds and bring the balls up the court.
8. PJ Washington O21.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Washington's minutes have been incredibly consistent, and in a crucial game like this, I don't expect anything less than 40 minutes this game. In games he play 40 minutes or more this playoffs, he averaged 16/7/1 and I expect a similar statline in points and rebounds, but around 2 assists this game with his increase role in playmaking and bringing the ball up the court in this series.
9. Jayson Tatum O1.5SB Odd 1.85 Unibet
For someone who will likely play over 40 minutes in this game and is not bad on defense, this line is quite low. I would not be surprised if he gets 4SB today.
10 Jaylen Brown U11.5RA Odd 1.62 Ladbrokes
I believe this line is boosted up by his recent performances.He only has gone over this line in 3 games out of 17 games this playoffs. 
11. Sam Hauser O2.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Hauser play the most minutes for the Celtics bench. I expect him to play around 15 minutes this game.

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